Sport Picks

England

FA Trophy 2022/2023

Cray Valley

5 - 3

East Thurrock Utd

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-3, with Cray Valley advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Cray Valley

20%

Draws

44%

East Thurrock Utd

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: East Thurrock Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Cray Valley come out ahead of East Thurrock Utd on wins alone.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Cray Valley have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Cray Valley, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Cray Valley Clean Sheet 12%

East Thurrock Utd Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cray Valley	East Thurrock Utd
Matches Played	32	31
Wins	10	9
Draws	6	3
Losses	16	19
Goals Scored	1.44	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.94	2.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.17	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2022 FA Trophy

Cray Valley vs East Thurrock Utd

5:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cray Valley 29 / 100

East Thurrock Utd 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cray Valley East Thurrock Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cray Valley Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East Thurrock Utd let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 8.00 goals when they meet.

Cray Valley scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Cray Valley has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cray Valley VS -

1.13 Goals Scored 0

2.5 Goals Conceded 0

88% Over 1.5 0%

88% Over 2.5 0%

50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cray Valley

(Home)

29 Aug

Erith Town

2 : 1

Cray Valley

28 Jul

Cray Valley

2 : 3

Ebbsfleet

25 Apr

Dartford

2 : 3

Cray Valley

18 Apr

Cray Valley

1 : 1

Folkestone

11 Apr

Hashtag

1 : 1

Cray Valley

Page 1 of 7

East Thurrock Utd

(Away)

09 Sept

AFC Dunstable

East Thurrock Utd

24 Sept

Cray Valley

5 : 3

East Thurrock Utd

17 Sept

East Thurrock Utd

0 : 3

Biggleswade Town

13 Sept

East Thurrock Utd

3 : 1

Sutton Common Rovers

03 Sept

East Thurrock Utd

2 : 1

Biggleswade FC

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

Quarter-finals

Nantwich -

TBD -

Warrington Rylands -

Marine -

TBD -

Radcliffe -

Trafford 1

Hebburn Town 2

Witton Albion 3

Stockton 4

TBD -

Warrington Town -

Ashton United -

TBD -

Bootle -

Grimsby Borough -

Mossley AFC 1

Dunston 2

Macclesfield 7

Tadcaster Albion 0

Widnes FC 2

Skelmersdale 1

TBD -

Bamber Bridge -

Hyde -

TBD -

Bridlington Town 1

Colne 2

Shildon 1

Consett 2

North Shields 3

Pontefract Collieries 1

Workington 1

Runcorn Linnets 2

City Of Liverpool 0

Sheffield FC 1

Stocksbridge 2

Ossett United 3

Guiseley -

TBD -

Whitby -

Morpeth -

TBD -

Lancaster -

United of Manchester -

TBD -

Liversedge -

Stalybridge -

TBD -

South Shields -

Ramsbottom Utd 2

Glossop North End 1

Clitheroe 2

1874 Northwich 1

TBD -

Marske United -

Atherton Collieries -

TBD -

Coleshill Town 3

Neots 2

TBD -

Leek Town -

Stratford -

TBD -

Royston Town -

Leiston -

TBD -

Aylesbury United 0

Evesham 3

Sholing 0

Lymington 1

Gainsborough -

TBD -

Barwell -

Long Eaton 2

Gresley 0

Loughborough Dynamo 3

Corby 1

Prescot Cables 2

Cleethorpes 1

Brighouse Town 0

Worksop 2

Coalville Town -

TBD -

Ilkeston -

Daventry 2

Lincoln Utd. 3

Carlton Town 2

Hanley Town 0

Wroxham 4

East Grinstead Town 1

Basildon 0

Lowestoft 2

Nuneaton -

TBD -

Kidsgrove Athletic 3

Hinckley LR 4

Cambridge City 4

Yaxley 1

Needham Market -

TBD -

Stourbridge -

Hitchin -

TBD -

Redditch -

Kempston 0

Dereham 1

Newcastle Town 0

Spalding United 2

TBD -

Stafford -

Belper Town -

TBD -

St Ives Town -

AFC Rushden & Diamonds -

TBD -

Tamworth -

Bromsgrove -

TBD -

Boldmere St Michaels 4

Sporting Khalsa 3

Stamford 1

Chasetown 2

Matlock -

TBD -

Grantham Town 1

Sutton Coldfield Town 2

Halesowen 5

Biggleswade FC 2

Barton 0

Chatham 1

Bury Town 1

Stowmarket Town 2

TBD -

Mickleover -

Basford Utd. -

TBD -

Bedworth United 0

Harborough 1

Shepshed 1

Biggleswade Town 0

Bedford -

TBD -

Alvechurch -

Rushall -

TBD -

Hednesford -

Carshalton -

TBD -

Lancing 1

Cray Valley 4

East Thurrock Utd 3

Sutton Common Rovers 1

Great Wakering 1

Harlow 2

Walthamstow FC 1

Ashford Town 3

TBD -

Hornchurch -

Hayes & Yeading -

TBD -

Welwyn Garden 1

New Salamis FC 2

Gorleston 1

Coggeshall Town 2

South Park 1

Sittingbourne 2

Felixstowe & Walton 2

Burgess Hill 3

Northwood 0

Hanworth Villa 3

Littlehampton 1

Ramsgate 0

Hendon -

TBD -

Thame United 2

Westbury United 0

Marlow 0

Binfield 4

Haringey Borough -

TBD -

Brightlingsea -

Chertsey Town 1

Uxbridge 3

Bedfont Sports 3

Hashtag 2

Walton & Hersham 3

Leatherhead 1

Haywards Heath 0

Southall FC 1

Ashford United 4

Sudbury 3

Three Bridges 3

Hullbridge 2

TBD -

Kings Langley -

Hanwell Town -

TBD -

Cray Wanderers -

VCD Athletic 0

Grays 3

Merstham 3

Hythe 0

Romania 2

Westfield 1

Chichester City 0

Faversham 1

Horsham FC -

TBD -

Aveley -

Billericay -

TBD -

Margate -

Beaconsfield Town -

TBD -

Hartley Wintney -

Metropolitan Police -

TBD -

Hastings -

FC Witham Town 1

Brentwood 0

Maldon & Tiptree 0

Ware 3

Cinderford Town 0

Thatcham 1

Bishops Cleeve 2

AFC Dunstable 3

Lewes -

TBD -

Hadley 1

Sevenoaks 2

Sheppey United 3

Hertford Town 4

Corinthian-Casuals -

TBD -

Harrow Borough -

Herne Bay -

TBD -

Stortford -

Enfield Town -

TBD -

Chesham -

Potters -

TBD -

Beckenham Town 1

Heybridge 2

Chipstead 4

Waltham Abbey 2

Folkestone -

TBD -

Tooting & Mitcham 0

Corinthian 1

Tilbury 1

Whitehawk 2

Kingstonian -

TBD -

Wingate & Finchley -

Bognor Regis -

TBD -

Bowers & Pitsea -

Canvey Island -

TBD -

Bracknell Town -

Plymouth Parkway -

TBD -

Dorchester -

Merthyr Town -

TBD -

AFC Totton 2

Slimbridge 1

Berkhamsted Town 5

Exmouth Town 0

Truro -

TBD -

Salisbury -

Yate -

TBD -

Weston-super-Mare -

Kidlington 0

Tavistock 1

Didcot 2

Hamworthy United 1

Bashley 4

Frome Town 1

Larkhall 0

Melksham 2

Swindon Supermarine -

TBD -

Basingstoke 3

Cirencester 5

Highworth 1

Paulton Rovers 2

Wimborne 2

Bristol Manor Farm 3

Willand Rovers 0

Bideford 3

TBD -

Gosport Borough -

North Leigh -

TBD -

Tiverton -

Winchester City -

TBD -

Poole Town -

TBD -

Semi-finals

Nantwich -

TBD -

Warrington Rylands -

Marine -

TBD -

Radcliffe -

Hebburn Town 3

Stockton 1

TBD -

Warrington Town -

Ashton United -

TBD -

Bootle 0

Dunston 3

Macclesfield 5

Widnes FC 1

TBD -

Bamber Bridge -

Hyde -

TBD -

Colne 1

Consett 0

North Shields 1

Runcorn Linnets 2

Sheffield FC 1

Ossett United 2

Guiseley -

TBD -

Whitby -

Morpeth -

TBD -

Lancaster -

United of Manchester -

TBD -

Liversedge -

Stalybridge -

TBD -

South Shields -

Ramsbottom Utd 1

Clitheroe 4

TBD -

Marske United -

Atherton Collieries -

TBD -

Coleshill Town 4

Leek Town 5

Stratford -

TBD -

Royston Town -

Leiston -

TBD -

Evesham 1

Lymington 0

Gainsborough -

TBD -

Barwell -

Long Eaton 0

Loughborough Dynamo 1

Prescot Cables 1

Worksop 3

Coalville Town -

TBD -

Ilkeston -

Lincoln Utd. 2

Carlton Town 1

Wroxham 5

Lowestoft 1

Nuneaton -

TBD -

Hinckley LR 1

Cambridge City 0

Needham Market -

TBD -

Stourbridge -

Hitchin -

TBD -

Redditch -

Dereham 0

Spalding United 1

TBD -

Stafford -

Belper Town -

TBD -

St Ives Town -

AFC Rushden & Diamonds -

TBD -

Tamworth -

Bromsgrove -

TBD -

Boldmere St Michaels 1

Chasetown 2

Matlock -

TBD -

Sutton Coldfield Town 2

Halesowen 0

Chatham 0

Stowmarket Town 1

TBD -

Mickleover -

Basford Utd. -

TBD -

Harborough 2

Shepshed 1

Bedford -

TBD -

Alvechurch -

Rushall -

TBD -

Hednesford -

Carshalton -

TBD -

Cray Valley 5

East Thurrock Utd 3

Harlow 4

Ashford Town 1

TBD -

Hornchurch -

Hayes & Yeading -

TBD -

New Salamis FC 3

Coggeshall Town 0

Sittingbourne 1

Burgess Hill 2

Hanworth Villa 3

Littlehampton 2

Hendon -

TBD -

Thame United 1

Binfield 2

Haringey Borough -

TBD -

Brightlingsea -

Uxbridge 2

Bedfont Sports 0

Walton & Hersham 4

Southall FC 0

Ashford United 2

Three Bridges 0

TBD -

Kings Langley -

Hanwell Town -

TBD -

Cray Wanderers -

Grays 4

Merstham 1

Romania 2

Faversham 3

Horsham FC -

TBD -

Aveley -

Billericay -

TBD -

Margate -

Beaconsfield Town -

TBD -

Hartley Wintney -

Metropolitan Police -

TBD -

Hastings -

FC Witham Town 2

Ware 1

Thatcham 0

AFC Dunstable 3

Lewes -

TBD -

Sevenoaks 3

Hertford Town 2

Corinthian-Casuals -

TBD -

Harrow Borough -

Herne Bay -

TBD -

Stortford -

Enfield Town -

TBD -

Chesham -

Potters -

TBD -

Heybridge 2

Chipstead 1

Folkestone -

TBD -

Corinthian 2

Whitehawk 4

Kingstonian -

TBD -

Wingate & Finchley -

Bognor Regis -

TBD -

Bowers & Pitsea -

Canvey Island -

TBD -

Bracknell Town -

Plymouth Parkway -

TBD -

Dorchester -

Merthyr Town -

TBD -

AFC Totton 2

Berkhamsted Town 1

Truro -

TBD -

Salisbury -

Yate -

TBD -

Weston-super-Mare -

Tavistock 1

Didcot 0

Bashley 2

Melksham 3

Swindon Supermarine -

TBD -

Cirencester 3

Paulton Rovers 2

Bristol Manor Farm 3

Bideford 2

TBD -

Gosport Borough -

North Leigh -

TBD -

Tiverton -

Winchester City -

TBD -

Poole Town -

TBD -

Final

Nantwich 0

Warrington Rylands 2

Marine 2

Radcliffe 1

Hebburn Town 1

Warrington Town 2

Ashton United 0

Dunston 1

Macclesfield 6

Bamber Bridge 1

Hyde 2

Colne 3

Runcorn Linnets 2

Ossett United 1

Guiseley 3

Whitby 1

Morpeth 2

Lancaster 3

United of Manchester 0

Liversedge 1

Stalybridge 1

South Shields 2

Clitheroe 2

Marske United 3

Atherton Collieries 0

Leek Town 3

Stratford 1

Royston Town 2

Leiston 1

Evesham 0

Gainsborough 3

Barwell 1

Loughborough Dynamo 1

Worksop 2

Coalville Town 4

Ilkeston 1

Lincoln Utd. 1

Wroxham 3

Nuneaton 2

Hinckley LR 0

Needham Market 0

Stourbridge 1

Hitchin 0

Redditch 3

Spalding United 1

Stafford 2

Belper Town 2

St Ives Town 1

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 0

Tamworth 4

Bromsgrove 0

Chasetown 3

Matlock 3

Sutton Coldfield Town 0

Stowmarket Town 2

Mickleover 1

Basford Utd. 2

Harborough 1

Bedford 0

Alvechurch 3

Rushall 3

Hednesford 4

Carshalton 3

Cray Valley 2

Harlow 3

Hornchurch 2

Hayes & Yeading 1

New Salamis FC 0

Burgess Hill 2

Hanworth Villa 1

Hendon 0

Binfield 1

Haringey Borough 1

Brightlingsea 0

Uxbridge 1

Walton & Hersham 0

Ashford United 1

Kings Langley 2

Hanwell Town 3

Cray Wanderers 1

Grays 1

Faversham 0

Horsham FC 4

Aveley 3

Billericay 2

Margate 0

Beaconsfield Town 3

Hartley Wintney 2

Metropolitan Police 0

Hastings 1

FC Witham Town 0

AFC Dunstable 1

Lewes 1

Sevenoaks 0

Corinthian-Casuals 2

Harrow Borough 3

Herne Bay 1

Stortford 2

Enfield Town 0

Chesham 4

Potters 0

Heybridge 2

Folkestone 2

Whitehawk 1

Kingstonian 2

Wingate & Finchley 3

Bognor Regis 1

Bowers & Pitsea 0

Canvey Island 1

Bracknell Town 4

Plymouth Parkway 2

Dorchester 0

Merthyr Town 0

AFC Totton 1

Truro 1

Salisbury 0

Yate 0

Weston-super-Mare 2

Tavistock 3

Melksham 1

Swindon Supermarine 3

Cirencester 0

Bristol Manor Farm 2

Gosport Borough 0

North Leigh 4

Tiverton 3

Winchester City 2

Poole Town 0

TBD -

Cray Valley vs East Thurrock Utd

England

Cray Valley

East Thurrock Utd

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Cray Valley

East Thurrock Utd

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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