Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cray Valley vs Folkestone

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 Badgers Sports Ground, Eltham
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Newby A.
90' Event
Mason B.

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 game between Cray Valley and Folkestone finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Cray Valley
20%
Draws
51%
Folkestone
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Folkestone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Folkestone come out ahead of Cray Valley on wins alone.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 51.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Cray Valley Clean Sheet 10%
Folkestone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cray Valley Folkestone
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 16
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.23 2.23
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.68 2.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Cray Valley vs Folkestone
1:1
Dec 16, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Folkestone vs Cray Valley
3:0
Apr 26, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Cray Valley vs Folkestone
1:2
Aug 24, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Folkestone vs Cray Valley
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cray Valley Compare

Top Goalscorer Newby A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.29
Avg xA / game 0.84

Folkestone Compare

Top Goalscorer Mason B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.95
Avg xA / game 1.19

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cray Valley 30 / 100
Folkestone 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cray Valley Folkestone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cray Valley found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Folkestone conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Solid form: Cray Valley remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cray Valley VS Folkestone
1.6 Goals Scored 2.5
1.8 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
60% Over 2.5 75%
40% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cray Valley

(Home)
28 Jul
Cray Valley
2 : 3
Ebbsfleet
25 Apr
Dartford
2 : 3
Cray Valley
18 Apr
Cray Valley
1 : 1
Folkestone
11 Apr
Hashtag
1 : 1
Cray Valley
06 Apr
Cray Valley
1 : 2
Cray Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

Folkestone

(Away)
08 Aug
Folkestone
5 : 1
Walton & Hersham
01 Aug
Folkestone
2 : 0
Welling
28 Jul
Sutton
2 : 1
Folkestone
25 Jul
Sholing
1 : 0
Folkestone
18 Jul
Folkestone
2 : 0
Charlton U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folkestone 42 29 9 4 102:40 96
2 Aveley 42 24 12 6 90:51 84
3 Billericay 42 24 10 8 81:48 82
4 Chatham 42 24 7 11 83:35 79
5 Brentwood 42 24 6 12 84:66 78
6 Dartford 42 20 12 10 81:55 72
7 Cray Wanderers 42 17 16 9 79:71 67
8 Burgess Hill 42 20 7 15 76:81 67
9 Dulwich Hamlet 42 17 11 14 61:53 62
10 Ramsgate 42 15 12 15 73:68 57
11 St. Albans 42 16 8 18 71:59 56
12 Chichester City 42 14 13 15 57:63 55
13 Cheshunt 42 12 14 16 65:70 50
14 Whitehawk 42 12 13 17 58:72 49
15 Welling 42 15 3 24 54:75 48
16 Wingate & Finchley 42 12 10 20 55:67 46
17 Lewes 42 13 7 22 47:83 46
18 Carshalton 42 10 14 18 61:73 44
19 Cray Valley 42 11 9 22 54:80 42
20 Hashtag 42 11 9 22 60:87 42
21 Potters 42 9 3 30 46:94 30
22 Canvey Island 42 6 9 27 40:87 27
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)