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Cray Wanderers vs East Thurrock Utd Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Dickson C.
29' Event
Kader S.
60' Event
Dickson C.

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division 2021/2022 game between Cray Wanderers and East Thurrock Utd finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cray Wanderers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Cray Wanderers
15%
Draws
27%
East Thurrock Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cray Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cray Wanderers come out ahead of East Thurrock Utd on wins alone.
  • Cray Wanderers are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cray Wanderers here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Cray Wanderers Clean Sheet 19%
East Thurrock Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cray Wanderers East Thurrock Utd
Matches Played 35 32
Wins 18 9
Draws 10 3
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 2.14 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.34 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2022 Isthmian League Premier Division
Cray Wanderers vs East Thurrock Utd
4:1
Jan 1, 2022 Isthmian League Premier Division
East Thurrock Utd vs Cray Wanderers
1:3
May 20, 2021 Isthmian League Premier Division
Cray Wanderers vs East Thurrock Utd
0:0
Sep 26, 2020 Isthmian League Premier Division
East Thurrock Utd vs Cray Wanderers
1:3
Feb 22, 2020 Isthmian League Premier Division
East Thurrock Utd vs Cray Wanderers
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cray Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Dickson C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kader S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

East Thurrock Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Coker O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cray Wanderers 85 / 100
East Thurrock Utd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cray Wanderers East Thurrock Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cray Wanderers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cray Wanderers's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

East Thurrock Utd has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Cray Wanderers has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Cray Wanderers VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cray Wanderers

(Home)
03 Oct
Cray Wanderers
3 : 0
Chippenham Town
29 Sept
Maldon & Tiptree
1 : 5
Cray Wanderers
26 Sept
Cheshunt
1 : 2
Cray Wanderers
22 Sept
Maidstone
0 : 2
Cray Wanderers
19 Sept
Cray Wanderers
1 : 1
Maidstone
Page 1 of 7

East Thurrock Utd

(Away)
09 Sept
AFC Dunstable
:
East Thurrock Utd
24 Sept
Cray Valley
5 : 3
East Thurrock Utd
17 Sept
East Thurrock Utd
0 : 3
Biggleswade Town
13 Sept
East Thurrock Utd
3 : 1
Sutton Common Rovers
03 Sept
East Thurrock Utd
2 : 1
Biggleswade FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Worthing FC 42 31 4 7 100:45 97
2 Stortford 42 25 12 5 89:33 87
3 Enfield Town 42 26 6 10 91:57 84
4 Hornchurch 42 25 6 11 89:42 81
5 Cheshunt 42 22 10 10 71:40 76
6 Folkestone 42 20 12 10 85:62 72
7 Lewes 42 20 10 12 89:63 70
8 Margate 42 19 8 15 60:62 65
9 Bognor Regis 42 15 14 13 62:58 59
10 Kingstonian 42 17 8 17 68:71 59
11 Horsham FC 42 16 9 17 66:58 57
12 Carshalton 42 15 12 15 65:57 57
13 Potters 42 16 5 21 54:74 53
14 Corinthian-Casuals 42 13 13 16 51:58 52
15 Wingate & Finchley 42 13 10 19 60:74 49
16 Bowers & Pitsea 42 12 9 21 54:72 45
17 Haringey Borough 42 9 15 18 57:81 42
18 Brightlingsea 42 11 6 25 44:92 39
19 Cray Wanderers 42 10 9 23 64:85 36
20 Leatherhead 42 9 9 24 43:83 36
21 East Thurrock Utd 42 9 8 25 44:98 35
22 Merstham 42 10 3 29 43:84 33
Promotion - National League South 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2021/2022 (Play Offs)