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CRB vs Murici

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano Estádio Rei Pelé, Maceió
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Denilson
33'
Caua
37'
Alex Moreira

AI Match Summary

The Alagoano game between CRB and Murici finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CRB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
CRB
44%
Draws
20%
Murici
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • CRB carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Alagoano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
CRB Clean Sheet 20%
Murici Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CRB Murici
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 11 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2026 Alagoano
CRB vs Murici
3:2
Feb 1, 2025 Alagoano
Murici vs CRB
0:0
Mar 20, 2024 Copa Alagoas
Murici vs CRB
3:0
Mar 16, 2024 Alagoano
CRB vs Murici
3:0
Mar 9, 2024 Alagoano
Murici vs CRB
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CRB Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikael
2 Goals
Assists Leader David Braw
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Murici Compare

Top Goalscorer Denilson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caua
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CRB 36 / 100
Murici 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CRB Murici

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CRB scored in 68% of their last 38 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: CRB stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Murici lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CRB VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CRB

(Home)
22 Jul
Ceara
0 : 1
CRB
16 Jul
CRB
2 : 1
Nautico
12 Jul
CRB
2 : 2
Goias
04 Jul
Londrina
5 : 0
CRB
30 Jun
Botafogo SP
0 : 1
CRB
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Murici

(Away)
18 Mar
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
3 : 0
Murici
14 Mar
Zumbi
1 : 0
Murici
01 Mar
Murici
6 : 0
Miguelense
22 Feb
ASA
3 : 0
Murici
14 Feb
Murici
0 : 0
ASA
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ASA752013:317
2CSA752010:117
3CRB74128:813
4Murici73228:511
5Cruzeiro Arapiraca72056:126
6Coruripe71245:115
7SC Penedense71242:85
8Clube Sociedade Esportiva71156:104
Promotion - Alagoano (Play Offs)