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CRB vs Murici

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano Estádio Rei Pelé, Maceió
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Match Events

29' Event
Denilson
33'
Caua
37'
Alex Moreira

AI Match Summary

The Alagoano game between CRB and Murici finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CRB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
CRB
15%
Draws
26%
Murici
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CRB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • CRB carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Alagoano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
CRB Clean Sheet 14%
Murici Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CRB Murici
Matches Played 44 32
Wins 22 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.43 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2026 Alagoano
CRB vs Murici
3:2
Feb 1, 2025 Alagoano
Murici vs CRB
0:0
Mar 20, 2024 Copa Alagoas
Murici vs CRB
3:0
Mar 16, 2024 Alagoano
CRB vs Murici
3:0
Mar 9, 2024 Alagoano
Murici vs CRB
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CRB Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikael
2 Goals
Assists Leader David Braw
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Murici Compare

Top Goalscorer Denilson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caua
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CRB 31 / 100
Murici 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CRB Murici

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CRB scored in 70% of their last 44 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: CRB stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Murici lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CRB VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CRB

(Home)
09 Sept
Operario-PR
3 : 0
CRB
05 Sept
CRB
3 : 1
America MG
30 Aug
CRB
2 : 1
Criciuma
25 Aug
EC Juventude
2 : 1
CRB
20 Aug
Athletic Club
0 : 2
CRB
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Murici

(Away)
18 Mar
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
3 : 0
Murici
14 Mar
Zumbi
1 : 0
Murici
01 Mar
Murici
6 : 0
Miguelense
22 Feb
ASA
3 : 0
Murici
14 Feb
Murici
0 : 0
ASA
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASA 7 5 2 0 13:3 17
2 CSA 7 5 2 0 10:1 17
3 CRB 7 4 1 2 8:8 13
4 Murici 7 3 2 2 8:5 11
5 Cruzeiro Arapiraca 7 2 0 5 6:12 6
6 Coruripe 7 1 2 4 5:11 5
7 SC Penedense 7 1 2 4 2:8 5
8 Clube Sociedade Esportiva 7 1 1 5 6:10 4
Promotion - Alagoano (Play Offs)