Sport Picks

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Creck Sporting vs Civo Utd

Malawi Malawi

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Creck Sporting play Civo Utd in the Super League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Creck Sporting averaged 0.81 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. Civo Utd averaged 1.32 goals scored and 0.74 conceded. In past meetings, Creck Sporting won 1, Civo Utd won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 28, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Creck Sporting and 1.31 for Civo Utd. This points to a Civo Utd double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Creck Sporting
24%
Draws
44%
Civo Utd
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Civo Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Creck Sporting picked up more points recently compared to Civo Utd.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 18%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31%
Creck Sporting Clean Sheet 18%
Civo Utd Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 46%
Second Half Goal 48%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Creck Sporting Civo Utd
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 10 15
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.81 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.94 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Super League
Creck Sporting vs Civo Utd
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Super League
Creck Sporting vs Civo Utd
0:0
Jun 25, 2025 Super League
Civo Utd vs Creck Sporting
2:0
Oct 30, 2024 Super League
Civo Utd vs Creck Sporting
1:3
Jul 17, 2024 Super League
Creck Sporting vs Civo Utd
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Creck Sporting Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Civo Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Biason M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Creck Sporting 32 / 100
Civo Utd 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Creck Sporting Civo Utd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Civo Utd or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +25.1%
4.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Creck Sporting attacking → ← attacking Civo Utd

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Creck Sporting scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Civo Utd let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Creck Sporting went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Civo Utd lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 52
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Blue Eagles961214:819
2Big Bullets954012:619
3Mighty Wanderers FC953118:618
4Silver Strikers953114:318
5Ekhaya943212:615
6Red Lions94328:615
7Masters FC950411:1015
8Moyale Barracks93338:1012
9Mitundu Baptist93248:1011
10Civo Utd93246:911
11Chitipa United93156:1210
12MAFCO92347:89
13Karonga United92349:149
14Dedza Dynamos92255:158
15Creck Sporting91266:135
16Kamuzu Barracks91177:154