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Crema vs Clivense

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Bragagnolo S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 game between Crema and Clivense finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Clivense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Crema
20%
Draws
57%
Clivense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Clivense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Clivense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Crema Clean Sheet 20%
Clivense Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crema Clivense
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 13 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.82 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Crema vs Clivense
0:1
Oct 15, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Clivense vs Crema
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crema Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Clivense Compare

Top Goalscorer Bragagnolo S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crema 32 / 100
Clivense 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crema Clivense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crema's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Clivense let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Crema has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Crema VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Crema

(Home)
16 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 0
Crema
13 Sept
Crema
1 : 3
Pistoiese
06 Sept
Pavia
0 : 0
Crema
08 Aug
Lumezzane
1 : 0
Crema
10 May
Crema
2 : 0
Tropical Coriano
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Clivense

(Away)
05 May
Arconatese
4 : 0
Clivense
28 Apr
Clivense
2 : 1
Castellanzese
21 Apr
Clivense
2 : 0
Brusaporto
14 Apr
Piacenza
0 : 0
Clivense
07 Apr
Clivense
1 : 0
Caravaggio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caldiero Terme 38 23 8 7 55:32 77
2 Piacenza 38 22 8 8 69:35 74
3 Pro Palazzolo 38 21 10 7 49:26 73
4 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:28 69
5 Varesina 38 20 8 10 73:49 68
6 Arconatese 38 21 5 12 58:38 68
7 Brusaporto 38 15 9 14 55:54 54
8 Clivense 38 14 11 13 38:47 53
9 Villa Valle 38 15 8 15 50:44 53
10 Folgore Caratese 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
11 USD Casatese 38 13 12 13 53:53 51
12 Caravaggio 38 12 10 16 44:51 46
13 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 13 6 19 49:58 45
14 Club Milano 38 11 12 15 41:44 45
15 Real Calepina 38 11 11 16 38:47 44
16 Legnano 38 11 9 18 34:50 42
17 Castellanzese 38 9 12 17 36:51 39
18 Crema 38 9 9 20 25:48 36
19 Tritium 38 6 11 21 27:57 29
20 Ponte San Pietro 38 5 9 24 31:63 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Out)