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Crema vs Fanfulla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Serie D - Group B 2024/2025
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Match Events

61' Event
Raimondi L.
64' Event
Greco I.
71' Event
Akammadu F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 game between Crema and Fanfulla finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crema.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Crema
20%
Draws
32%
Fanfulla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Crema

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Crema carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Crema Clean Sheet 21%
Fanfulla Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crema Fanfulla
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 8 11
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.94 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Crema vs Fanfulla
3:1
Sep 14, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Fanfulla vs Crema
0:0
Jan 9, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Crema vs Fanfulla
2:2
Sep 4, 2022 Serie D - Group D
Fanfulla vs Crema
3:1
Jun 16, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Fanfulla vs Crema
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crema Compare

Top Goalscorer Akammadu F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Greco I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Fanfulla Compare

Top Goalscorer Raimondi L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crema 37 / 100
Fanfulla 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crema Fanfulla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fanfulla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Crema scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Fanfulla conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: Fanfulla has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Crema VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Crema

(Home)
04 Oct
Crema
3 : 2
Varese FC
27 Sept
Castellanzese
4 : 0
Crema
20 Sept
Crema
0 : 3
Pro Sesto
16 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 0
Crema
13 Sept
Crema
1 : 3
Pistoiese
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Fanfulla

(Away)
04 May
Club Milano
3 : 2
Fanfulla
27 Apr
Fanfulla
1 : 1
Sangiuliano City
17 Apr
Fanfulla
0 : 0
Pro Palazzolo
13 Apr
Arconatese
4 : 2
Fanfulla
06 Apr
Fanfulla
0 : 1
Ospitaletto
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ospitaletto 38 21 12 5 66:34 75
2 Pro Palazzolo 38 20 10 8 69:36 70
3 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:29 69
4 USD Casatese 38 19 11 8 58:34 68
5 Folgore Caratese 38 20 8 10 66:42 68
6 Varesina 38 17 13 8 61:44 64
7 Chievo 38 16 9 13 49:37 57
8 Pro Sesto 38 13 13 12 45:43 52
9 Club Milano 38 14 7 17 44:50 49
10 Sant'Angelo 38 11 15 12 41:41 48
11 Sondrio 38 12 11 15 39:51 47
12 Breno 38 11 14 13 42:53 47
13 Castellanzese 38 10 16 12 43:53 46
14 Vigasio 38 11 12 15 39:41 45
15 Sangiuliano City 38 11 12 15 39:46 45
16 Crema 38 11 11 16 48:57 44
17 Magenta 38 8 12 18 33:53 36
18 Fanfulla 38 6 14 18 28:57 32
19 Ciliverghe Mazzano 38 7 10 21 41:70 31
20 Arconatese 38 7 10 21 33:64 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)