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Crema vs Vigor Carpaneto

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Bruno S.
47' Event
Pignat A.
90' Event
Mastrototaro D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2019/2020 game between Crema and Vigor Carpaneto finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vigor Carpaneto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Crema
35%
Draws
45%
Vigor Carpaneto
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vigor Carpaneto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vigor Carpaneto come out ahead of Crema on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vigor Carpaneto here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Crema Clean Sheet 20%
Vigor Carpaneto Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crema Vigor Carpaneto
Matches Played 29 20
Wins 6 7
Draws 11 6
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 0.93 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2020 Serie D - Group D
Crema vs Vigor Carpaneto
1:2
Oct 6, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Vigor Carpaneto vs Crema
0:1
Apr 14, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Vigor Carpaneto vs Crema
4:1
Dec 8, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Crema vs Vigor Carpaneto
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crema Compare

Top Goalscorer Pignat A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Vigor Carpaneto Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mastrototaro D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crema 31 / 100
Vigor Carpaneto 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crema Vigor Carpaneto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crema Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vigor Carpaneto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 20 matches.

Crema scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Crema stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crema VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Crema

(Home)
06 Sept
Pavia
0 : 0
Crema
08 Aug
Lumezzane
1 : 0
Crema
10 May
Crema
2 : 0
Tropical Coriano
03 May
Piacenza
3 : 1
Crema
26 Apr
Crema
0 : 0
Correggese
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Vigor Carpaneto

(Away)
16 Feb
Vigor Carpaneto
2 : 1
Correggese
09 Feb
Crema
1 : 2
Vigor Carpaneto
02 Feb
Vigor Carpaneto
2 : 1
Fiorenzuola
26 Jan
Mantova
1 : 1
Vigor Carpaneto
19 Jan
Vigor Carpaneto
1 : 1
Mezzolara
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