Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cremonese vs Palermo

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia 2025/2026 Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona
Sat, Aug 16, 2025
0 - 1
07:15 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Sub
Peda P. In: Diakite S.
Out: Peda P.
59'
Sub
Grassi A. In: Bondo W.
Out: Grassi A.
59'
Sub
De Luca M. In: Okereke D.
Out: De Luca M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Palermo advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Cremonese
6%
Draws
90%
Palermo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Palermo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Palermo come out ahead of Cremonese on wins alone.
  • Model gives Palermo a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Palermo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Palermo, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Cremonese Clean Sheet 10%
Palermo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cremonese Palermo
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 6 16
Draws 5 8
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.25 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2025 Coppa Italia
Cremonese vs Palermo
0:1
Mar 14, 2025 Serie B
Palermo vs Cremonese
2:3
Aug 27, 2024 Serie B
Cremonese vs Palermo
0:1
Feb 24, 2024 Serie B
Cremonese vs Palermo
2:2
Dec 26, 2023 Serie B
Palermo vs Cremonese
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cremonese 10 / 100
Palermo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cremonese Palermo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Cremonese remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Cremonese found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (27 games).

Palermo let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cremonese VS Palermo
1.25 Goals Scored 2.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cremonese

(Home)
24 Jul
Cremonese
4 : 0
Giana Erminio
24 May
Cremonese
1 : 4
Como
17 May
Udinese
0 : 1
Cremonese
10 May
Cremonese
3 : 0
Pisa
04 May
Cremonese
1 : 2
Lazio
Page 1 of 6

Palermo

(Away)
25 Jul
Palermo
2 : 2
Nurnberg
22 Jul
Palermo
7 : 0
Paradiso
18 Jul
Ingolstadt
1 : 0
Palermo
15 Jul
Palermo
8 : 0
FC Gherdeina
20 May
Palermo
2 : 0
Catanzaro
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Bologna-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Parma-
TBD-
Pescara1
Rimini0
Spezia-
TBD-
TBD-
Sampdoria-
Lazio-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
AC Milan-
TBD-
TBD-
Bari-
Lecce-
TBD-
TBD-
Juve Stabia-
Atalanta-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Empoli-
TBD-
TBD-
Reggiana-
Genoa-
TBD-
Padova0
Vicenza2
Juventus-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Udinese-
TBD-
TBD-
Carrarese-
Cremonese-
TBD-
TBD-
Palermo-
Inter-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Audace Cerignola1
Avellino0
Verona-
TBD-
Venezia-
TBD-
TBD-
Mantova-
AS Roma-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Torino-
TBD-
TBD-
Modena-
Pisa-
TBD-
TBD-
Cesena-
Napoli-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Monza-
TBD-
TBD-
Frosinone-
Cagliari-
TBD-
Entella4
Ternana0
Fiorentina-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Como-
TBD-
TBD-
Sudtirol-
Sassuolo-
TBD-
TBD-
Catanzaro-
1/32-finals
Bologna-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Parma2
Pescara0
Spezia2
Sampdoria1
Lazio-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
AC Milan2
Bari0
Lecce2
Juve Stabia0
Atalanta-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Empoli2
Reggiana1
Genoa3
Vicenza0
Juventus-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Udinese2
Carrarese0
Cremonese0
Palermo1
Inter-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Audace Cerignola1
Verona2
Venezia4
Mantova0
AS Roma-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Torino1
Modena0
Pisa1
Cesena0
Napoli-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Monza0
Frosinone1
Cagliari2
Entella1
Fiorentina-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Como3
Sudtirol1
Sassuolo1
Catanzaro0
1/16-finals
Bologna-
TBD-
Parma3
Spezia2
Lazio-
TBD-
AC Milan3
Lecce0
Atalanta-
TBD-
Empoli1
Genoa3
Juventus-
TBD-
Udinese2
Palermo1
Inter-
TBD-
Verona0
Venezia1
AS Roma-
TBD-
Torino1
Pisa0
Napoli-
TBD-
Frosinone1
Cagliari4
Fiorentina-
TBD-
Como3
Sassuolo0
1/8-finals
Bologna2
Parma1
Lazio1
AC Milan0
Atalanta4
Genoa0
Juventus2
Udinese0
Inter5
Venezia1
AS Roma2
Torino3
Napoli2
Cagliari1
Fiorentina1
Como3
Quarter-finals
Bologna1
Lazio2
Atalanta3
Juventus0
Inter2
Torino1
Napoli1
Como2
Semi-finals
Lazio4
Atalanta3
Inter3
Como2
Final
Lazio0
Inter2