Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cremonese vs Palermo

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia 2025/2026 Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona
Sat, Aug 16, 2025
0 - 1
07:15 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Sub
Peda P. In: Diakite S.
Out: Peda P.
59'
Sub
Grassi A. In: Bondo W.
Out: Grassi A.
59'
Sub
De Luca M. In: Okereke D.
Out: De Luca M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Palermo advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Cremonese
20%
Draws
52%
Palermo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Palermo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Palermo come out ahead of Cremonese on wins alone.
  • Model gives Palermo a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Palermo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Palermo, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Cremonese Clean Sheet 18%
Palermo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cremonese Palermo
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 18
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 0.96 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2025 Coppa Italia
Cremonese vs Palermo
0:1
Mar 14, 2025 Serie B
Palermo vs Cremonese
2:3
Aug 27, 2024 Serie B
Cremonese vs Palermo
0:1
Feb 24, 2024 Serie B
Cremonese vs Palermo
2:2
Dec 26, 2023 Serie B
Palermo vs Cremonese
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cremonese 20 / 100
Palermo 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cremonese Palermo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palermo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Palermo conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Cremonese remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Cremonese scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Cremonese VS Palermo
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cremonese

(Home)
12 Sept
Cesena
2 : 2
Cremonese
06 Sept
Cremonese
3 : 1
Padova
01 Sept
Parma
0 : 2
Cremonese
28 Aug
Cremonese
0 : 3
Modena
22 Aug
Empoli
1 : 0
Cremonese
Page 1 of 6

Palermo

(Away)
13 Sept
Avellino
1 : 1
Palermo
07 Sept
Palermo
3 : 1
Sampdoria
03 Sept
Palermo
5 : 2
Mantova
30 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 3
Palermo
23 Aug
Palermo
1 : 0
Juve Stabia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Parma -
TBD -
Pescara 1
Rimini 0
Spezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Sampdoria -
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
TBD -
TBD -
Bari -
Lecce -
TBD -
TBD -
Juve Stabia -
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli -
TBD -
TBD -
Reggiana -
Genoa -
TBD -
Padova 0
Vicenza 2
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Udinese -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrarese -
Cremonese -
TBD -
TBD -
Palermo -
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Avellino 0
Verona -
TBD -
Venezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Mantova -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torino -
TBD -
TBD -
Modena -
Pisa -
TBD -
TBD -
Cesena -
Napoli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monza -
TBD -
TBD -
Frosinone -
Cagliari -
TBD -
Entella 4
Ternana 0
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudtirol -
Sassuolo -
TBD -
TBD -
Catanzaro -
1/32-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Parma 2
Pescara 0
Spezia 2
Sampdoria 1
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan 2
Bari 0
Lecce 2
Juve Stabia 0
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli 2
Reggiana 1
Genoa 3
Vicenza 0
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Udinese 2
Carrarese 0
Cremonese 0
Palermo 1
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Verona 2
Venezia 4
Mantova 0
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torino 1
Modena 0
Pisa 1
Cesena 0
Napoli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monza 0
Frosinone 1
Cagliari 2
Entella 1
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como 3
Sudtirol 1
Sassuolo 1
Catanzaro 0
1/16-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
Parma 3
Spezia 2
Lazio -
TBD -
AC Milan 3
Lecce 0
Atalanta -
TBD -
Empoli 1
Genoa 3
Juventus -
TBD -
Udinese 2
Palermo 1
Inter -
TBD -
Verona 0
Venezia 1
AS Roma -
TBD -
Torino 1
Pisa 0
Napoli -
TBD -
Frosinone 1
Cagliari 4
Fiorentina -
TBD -
Como 3
Sassuolo 0
1/8-finals
Bologna 2
Parma 1
Lazio 1
AC Milan 0
Atalanta 4
Genoa 0
Juventus 2
Udinese 0
Inter 5
Venezia 1
AS Roma 2
Torino 3
Napoli 2
Cagliari 1
Fiorentina 1
Como 3
Quarter-finals
Bologna 1
Lazio 2
Atalanta 3
Juventus 0
Inter 2
Torino 1
Napoli 1
Como 2
Semi-finals
Lazio 4
Atalanta 3
Inter 3
Como 2
Final
Lazio 0
Inter 2