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Cremonese vs Pro Patria

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Bonazzoli F.
43' Event
Baschirotto F.
48' Event
Barbieri T.

AI Match Summary

Cremonese in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cremonese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Cremonese
20%
Draws
52%
Pro Patria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pro Patria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Pro Patria average 1.28 goals a game right now, well clear of Cremonese's 0.93.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Pro Patria taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Cremonese Clean Sheet 20%
Pro Patria Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cremonese Pro Patria
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.93 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2025 Club Friendly
Cremonese vs Pro Patria
3:0
Apr 24, 2016 Serie C - Group A
Cremonese vs Pro Patria
2:0
Dec 12, 2015 Serie C - Group A
Pro Patria vs Cremonese
1:0
Apr 25, 2015 Serie C - Group A
Pro Patria vs Cremonese
3:1
Dec 15, 2014 Serie C - Group A
Cremonese vs Pro Patria
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cremonese Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonazzoli F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baschirotto F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Pro Patria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cremonese 12 / 100
Pro Patria 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cremonese Pro Patria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pro Patria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pro Patria conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Cremonese has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Cremonese's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Cremonese VS Pro Patria
1 Goals Scored 2.14
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.71
38% Over 1.5 86%
13% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Cremonese

(Home)
19 Sept
Cremonese
0 : 0
Entella
12 Sept
Cesena
2 : 2
Cremonese
06 Sept
Cremonese
3 : 1
Padova
01 Sept
Parma
0 : 2
Cremonese
28 Aug
Cremonese
0 : 3
Modena
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Pro Patria

(Away)
20 Sept
Arconatese
0 : 3
Pro Patria
16 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 0
Crema
12 Sept
US Pontedera
2 : 3
Pro Patria
06 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 1
Oltrepo
12 Aug
Pro Patria
3 : 1
Gozzano
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