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Cremonese vs Pro Patria

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Bonazzoli F.
43' Event
Baschirotto F.
48' Event
Barbieri T.

AI Match Summary

Cremonese in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cremonese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Cremonese
17%
Draws
13%
Pro Patria
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Cremonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Cremonese have won more games recently than Pro Patria.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Cremonese taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Cremonese Clean Sheet 68%
Pro Patria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cremonese Pro Patria
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 5 4
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2025 Club Friendly
Cremonese vs Pro Patria
3:0
Apr 24, 2016 Serie C - Group A
Cremonese vs Pro Patria
2:0
Dec 12, 2015 Serie C - Group A
Pro Patria vs Cremonese
1:0
Apr 25, 2015 Serie C - Group A
Pro Patria vs Cremonese
3:1
Dec 15, 2014 Serie C - Group A
Cremonese vs Pro Patria
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cremonese Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonazzoli F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baschirotto F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Pro Patria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cremonese 77 / 100
Pro Patria 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cremonese Pro Patria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pro Patria conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Cremonese has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Pro Patria's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cremonese VS Pro Patria
1 Goals Scored 1.67
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.33
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 83%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cremonese

(Home)
29 Jul
Cremonese
1 : 1
Cittadella
24 Jul
Cremonese
4 : 0
Giana Erminio
24 May
Cremonese
1 : 4
Como
17 May
Udinese
0 : 1
Cremonese
10 May
Cremonese
3 : 0
Pisa
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Pro Patria

(Away)
25 Apr
Renate
2 : 1
Pro Patria
19 Apr
Pro Patria
2 : 3
Arzignano
13 Apr
Dolomiti Bellunesi
2 : 4
Pro Patria
06 Apr
Pro Patria
1 : 1
Triestina
28 Mar
Pergolettese
2 : 1
Pro Patria
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