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Stadium Background

Cres vs Buje

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL West
Cres Logo

Cres

3 - 1
FT
Buje Logo

Buje

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL West game between Cres and Buje finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cres.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Cres
15%
Draws
39%
Buje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Buje carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cres's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Cres Clean Sheet 20%
Buje Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cres Buje
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 3
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.27 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2022 3. HNL West
Cres vs Buje
3:1
Nov 6, 2021 3. HNL West
Buje vs Cres
0:0
Apr 24, 2021 3. HNL West
Buje vs Cres
2:0
Oct 10, 2020 3. HNL West
Cres vs Buje
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cres 85 / 100
Buje 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cres Buje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cres Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cres scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Buje conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Cres has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cres VS Buje
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cres

(Home)
28 May
Cres
7 : 1
Naprijed Hreljin
21 May
Pazinka
2 : 1
Cres
14 May
Cres
3 : 1
Buje
07 May
Vinodol
1 : 0
Cres
30 Apr
Cres
1 : 1
Jadran Porec
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Buje

(Away)
28 May
Crikvenica
2 : 0
Buje
21 May
Buje
0 : 2
Uljanik Pula
14 May
Cres
3 : 1
Buje
07 May
Buje
2 : 1
Naprijed Hreljin
30 Apr
Pazinka
0 : 2
Buje
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crikvenica 26 18 2 6 53:24 56
2 Grobnican 26 16 7 3 66:23 55
3 Jadran Porec 26 16 6 4 59:22 53
4 Pazinka 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
5 Krk 26 12 3 11 40:42 39
6 Uljanik Pula 26 10 7 9 44:32 37
7 Novigrad 26 10 6 10 39:39 36
8 Rudar Labin 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
9 Cres 26 8 5 13 36:44 29
10 Nehaj Senj 26 7 8 11 26:40 29
11 Buje 26 9 2 15 22:36 29
12 NK Pomorac 26 7 5 14 32:62 26
13 Vinodol 26 5 9 12 31:47 24
14 Naprijed Hreljin 26 5 4 17 24:57 19
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)