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Cres vs Jadran Porec

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL West
Cres Logo

Cres

1 - 1
FT
Jadran Porec Logo

Jadran Porec

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL West game between Cres and Jadran Porec finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Cres
15%
Draws
0%
Jadran Porec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jadran Porec come out ahead of Cres on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cres's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Cres Clean Sheet 20%
Jadran Porec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cres Jadran Porec
Matches Played 30 50
Wins 8 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 31
Goals Scored 1.27 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2022 3. HNL West
Cres vs Jadran Porec
1:1
Oct 23, 2021 3. HNL West
Jadran Porec vs Cres
2:2
Apr 30, 2021 3. HNL West
Jadran Porec vs Cres
2:1
Oct 17, 2020 3. HNL West
Cres vs Jadran Porec
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cres 85 / 100
Jadran Porec 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cres Jadran Porec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cres Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jadran Porec conceded in 80% of 50 recent games.

Jadran Porec's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Cres scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jadran Porec
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cres

(Home)
28 May
Cres
7 : 1
Naprijed Hreljin
21 May
Pazinka
2 : 1
Cres
14 May
Cres
3 : 1
Buje
07 May
Vinodol
1 : 0
Cres
30 Apr
Cres
1 : 1
Jadran Porec
Page 1 of 6

Jadran Porec

(Away)
26 Aug
Maksimir
3 : 2
Jadran Porec
31 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Marsonia
24 May
Solin
6 : 0
Jadran Porec
17 May
Grobnican
2 : 0
Jadran Porec
10 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Trnje
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crikvenica 26 18 2 6 53:24 56
2 Grobnican 26 16 7 3 66:23 55
3 Jadran Porec 26 16 6 4 59:22 53
4 Pazinka 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
5 Krk 26 12 3 11 40:42 39
6 Uljanik Pula 26 10 7 9 44:32 37
7 Novigrad 26 10 6 10 39:39 36
8 Rudar Labin 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
9 Cres 26 8 5 13 36:44 29
10 Nehaj Senj 26 7 8 11 26:40 29
11 Buje 26 9 2 15 22:36 29
12 NK Pomorac 26 7 5 14 32:62 26
13 Vinodol 26 5 9 12 31:47 24
14 Naprijed Hreljin 26 5 4 17 24:57 19
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)