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Cres vs Nehaj Senj

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL West
Cres Logo

Cres

3 - 0
FT
Nehaj Senj Logo

Nehaj Senj

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL West game between Cres and Nehaj Senj finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cres.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Cres
20%
Draws
10%
Nehaj Senj
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Nehaj Senj have managed 1.06 goals a game lately — Cres are scoring more at 1.27.
  • Cres are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Cres Clean Sheet 16%
Nehaj Senj Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cres Nehaj Senj
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.27 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2022 3. HNL West
Cres vs Nehaj Senj
3:0
Sep 25, 2021 3. HNL West
Nehaj Senj vs Cres
4:1
May 22, 2021 3. HNL West
Cres vs Nehaj Senj
0:3
Nov 7, 2020 3. HNL West
Nehaj Senj vs Cres
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cres 84 / 100
Nehaj Senj 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cres Nehaj Senj

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cres Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nehaj Senj let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Cres's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Cres remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cres VS Nehaj Senj
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cres

(Home)
28 May
Cres
7 : 1
Naprijed Hreljin
21 May
Pazinka
2 : 1
Cres
14 May
Cres
3 : 1
Buje
07 May
Vinodol
1 : 0
Cres
30 Apr
Cres
1 : 1
Jadran Porec
Page 1 of 6

Nehaj Senj

(Away)
26 Aug
Nehaj Senj
1 : 2
Vukovar 1991
28 Aug
Nehaj Senj
0 : 4
Croatia Dakovo
31 Aug
Nehaj Senj
0 : 4
Primorac Biograd
28 May
Nehaj Senj
1 : 1
Jadran Porec
21 May
Rudar Labin
4 : 1
Nehaj Senj
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crikvenica 26 18 2 6 53:24 56
2 Grobnican 26 16 7 3 66:23 55
3 Jadran Porec 26 16 6 4 59:22 53
4 Pazinka 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
5 Krk 26 12 3 11 40:42 39
6 Uljanik Pula 26 10 7 9 44:32 37
7 Novigrad 26 10 6 10 39:39 36
8 Rudar Labin 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
9 Cres 26 8 5 13 36:44 29
10 Nehaj Senj 26 7 8 11 26:40 29
11 Buje 26 9 2 15 22:36 29
12 NK Pomorac 26 7 5 14 32:62 26
13 Vinodol 26 5 9 12 31:47 24
14 Naprijed Hreljin 26 5 4 17 24:57 19
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)