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Stadium Background

Cres vs Vinodol

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL West
Cres Logo

Cres

3 - 2
FT
Vinodol Logo

Vinodol

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cres in this 3. HNL West matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cres.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cres
20%
Draws
40%
Vinodol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cres lately — more wins on the board than Vinodol.
  • Model gives Cres a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Cres Clean Sheet 16%
Vinodol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cres Vinodol
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 6
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.27 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2022 3. HNL West
Vinodol vs Cres
1:0
Oct 30, 2021 3. HNL West
Cres vs Vinodol
3:2
Apr 10, 2021 3. HNL West
Vinodol vs Cres
2:1
Sep 29, 2020 3. HNL West
Cres vs Vinodol
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cres 84 / 100
Vinodol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cres Vinodol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cres Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vinodol has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Cres scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Cres went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cres VS Vinodol
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cres

(Home)
28 May
Cres
7 : 1
Naprijed Hreljin
21 May
Pazinka
2 : 1
Cres
14 May
Cres
3 : 1
Buje
07 May
Vinodol
1 : 0
Cres
30 Apr
Cres
1 : 1
Jadran Porec
Page 1 of 6

Vinodol

(Away)
29 Jul
Vinodol
0 : 1
Grobnican
28 May
Novigrad
3 : 4
Vinodol
21 May
Vinodol
0 : 1
Crikvenica
14 May
Uljanik Pula
3 : 3
Vinodol
07 May
Vinodol
1 : 0
Cres
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crikvenica 26 18 2 6 53:24 56
2 Grobnican 26 16 7 3 66:23 55
3 Jadran Porec 26 16 6 4 59:22 53
4 Pazinka 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
5 Krk 26 12 3 11 40:42 39
6 Uljanik Pula 26 10 7 9 44:32 37
7 Novigrad 26 10 6 10 39:39 36
8 Rudar Labin 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
9 Cres 26 8 5 13 36:44 29
10 Nehaj Senj 26 7 8 11 26:40 29
11 Buje 26 9 2 15 22:36 29
12 NK Pomorac 26 7 5 14 32:62 26
13 Vinodol 26 5 9 12 31:47 24
14 Naprijed Hreljin 26 5 4 17 24:57 19
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)