Sport Picks

Brazil

Brasiliense Women

Minas Brasilia W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cresspom W play Minas Brasilia W in the Brasiliense Women. Minas Brasilia W are favorites here. Recently, Cresspom W averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Minas Brasilia W averaged 2.63 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Cresspom W won 0, Minas Brasilia W won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 22, 2025 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Cresspom W and 2.76 for Minas Brasilia W. This points to a Minas Brasilia W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%

Cresspom W

19%

Draws

61%

Minas Brasilia W

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Minas Brasilia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence

Cresspom W picked up more points recently compared to Minas Brasilia W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.75 vs 2.76 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 64%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Cresspom W Clean Sheet 10%

Minas Brasilia W Clean Sheet 19%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cresspom W	Minas Brasilia W
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	7	21
Draws	5	5
Losses	18	6
Goals Scored	1.27	2.63
Goals Conceded	1.97	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.14	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2025 Brasiliense Women

Cresspom W vs Minas Brasilia W

Possession: 47% - 57% Cards: 2 - 1

2:2

Sep 8, 2024 Brasiliense Women

Minas Brasilia W vs Cresspom W

Possession: 59% - 41% Cards: 2 - 4

2:0

Aug 10, 2024 Brasiliense Women

Cresspom W vs Minas Brasilia W

Possession: 59% - 40% Cards: 2 - 1

0:2

Apr 30, 2023 Brasileiro A2 Women

Minas Brasilia W vs Cresspom W

Possession: 59% - 47% Cards: 0 - 2

6:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cresspom W 20 / 100

Minas Brasilia W 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cresspom W Minas Brasilia W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Minas Brasilia W Win (2)

Secondary Pick Minas Brasilia W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +66.6%

8.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.1%

1.72

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cresspom W attacking → ← attacking Minas Brasilia W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cresspom W scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Minas Brasilia W let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Cresspom W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Minas Brasilia W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 68

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.38

3.14 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Minas Brasilia W	6	5	1	0	31:3	16
2	Real Brasilia W	6	5	0	1	25:4	15
3	Cresspom W	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
4	Ceilandia W	6	3	1	2	15:8	10
5	Cruzeiro DF W	6	2	0	4	9:16	6
6	Legiao W	6	1	0	5	4:26	3
7	Luziania W	6	0	0	6	1:37	0