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Cresspom W vs Vila Nova FC W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A3 Women 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cresspom W play Vila Nova FC W in the Brasileiro A3 Women 2025. Vila Nova FC W are favorites here. Recently, Cresspom W averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Vila Nova FC W averaged 2.06 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, Cresspom W won 0, Vila Nova FC W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 26, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Cresspom W and 2.07 for Vila Nova FC W. This points to a Vila Nova FC W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Cresspom W
16%
Draws
60%
Vila Nova FC W
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Vila Nova FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Cresspom W picked up more points recently compared to Vila Nova FC W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 2.07 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Cresspom W Clean Sheet 10%
Vila Nova FC W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cresspom W Vila Nova FC W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.27 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.14 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 Brasileiro A3 Women
Cresspom W vs Vila Nova FC W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cresspom W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Vila Nova FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Naytielle
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cresspom W 24 / 100
Vila Nova FC W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cresspom W Vila Nova FC W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vila Nova FC W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Vila Nova FC W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cresspom W attacking → ← attacking Vila Nova FC W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cresspom W scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Vila Nova FC W let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Cresspom W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Vila Nova FC W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 49
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
3.14 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Galvez W33009:49
2Rolim de Moura W311112:34
3Taruma W31118:34
4Recanto W30032:210
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vila Nova FC W33007:29
2Operario MS W32016:66
3Cresspom W30120:21
4Várzea Grande EC W30126:91
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Perolas Negras W32104:17
2Itabirito W31203:25
3Realidade Jovem W30211:32
4Pinda Ferroviaria W30120:21
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Coritiba W33007:29
2Brasil de Farroupilha W32015:26
3Criciuma W31028:63
4Toledo W30032:120
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ypiranga AP W32105:37
2Tuna Luso W31113:34
3Sao Raimundo RR W31024:33
4Manaus W31023:63
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atletico-PI W330013:29
2Ceara W32018:36
3Uniao RN W31027:33
4IAPE W30031:210
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1UD Alagoana W33008:19
2Ipojuca W32014:56
3Mixto PB W31025:43
4Guarani de Paripueira W30031:80
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Doce Mel W32106:17
2Juventude W31115:54
3Prosperidade W31113:44
4Alagoinhas W30125:91