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Crewe U21 vs Barnsley U21

England England

Professional Development League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Tracey S.
13' Event
Moore L.
35' Event
Moore L.

AI Match Summary

The Professional Development League 2025/2026 game between Crewe U21 and Barnsley U21 finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crewe U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Crewe U21
15%
Draws
59%
Barnsley U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barnsley U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barnsley U21 come out ahead of Crewe U21 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Professional Development League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Crewe U21 Clean Sheet 13%
Barnsley U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crewe U21 Barnsley U21
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 5 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.4 1.82
Goals Conceded 2.43 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2026 Professional Development League
Crewe U21 vs Barnsley U21
5:2
Mar 6, 2026 Professional Development League
Barnsley U21 vs Crewe U21
1:0
Jan 20, 2025 Professional Development League
Crewe U21 vs Barnsley U21
2:2
Oct 4, 2024 Professional Development League
Barnsley U21 vs Crewe U21
2:0
Dec 22, 2023 Professional Development League
Barnsley U21 vs Crewe U21
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crewe U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Moore L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tracey S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Barnsley U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Graham K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crewe U21 30 / 100
Barnsley U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crewe U21 Barnsley U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crewe U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Crewe U21 found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Barnsley U21 let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Crewe U21 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Crewe U21 VS Barnsley U21
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Crewe U21

(Home)
20 Apr
Sheffield Wed U21
3 : 0
Crewe U21
17 Apr
Coventry U21
3 : 2
Crewe U21
13 Apr
Crewe U21
1 : 1
QPR U21
07 Apr
Crewe U21
5 : 2
Barnsley U21
30 Mar
Bournemouth U21
3 : 2
Crewe U21
Page 1 of 6

Barnsley U21

(Away)
14 Apr
Sheffield Wed U21
4 : 0
Barnsley U21
10 Apr
Barnsley U21
4 : 0
Colchester U21
07 Apr
Crewe U21
5 : 2
Barnsley U21
03 Apr
Barnsley U21
2 : 0
Hull City U21
30 Mar
Swansea U21
2 : 3
Barnsley U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brentford U21 28 18 4 6 67:34 58
2 Sheffield Utd U21 28 15 7 6 58:39 52
3 Bournemouth U21 28 16 2 10 67:47 50
4 Swansea U21 28 14 6 8 69:50 48
5 Peterborough U21 28 14 6 8 66:52 48
6 Huddersfield U21 28 14 6 8 59:50 48
7 Watford U21 28 12 9 7 69:53 45
8 Charlton U21 28 11 7 10 58:49 40
9 Cardiff U21 28 11 7 10 48:39 40
10 Wigan U21 28 11 5 12 67:58 38
11 Hull City U21 28 10 7 11 49:53 37
12 Barnsley U21 28 10 7 11 51:58 37
13 Millwall U21 28 11 3 14 48:52 36
14 Bristol City U21 28 10 5 13 45:54 35
15 Coventry U21 28 11 2 15 46:63 35
16 QPR U21 28 8 9 11 51:61 33
17 Sheffield Wed U21 28 8 6 14 49:63 30
18 Colchester U21 28 6 6 16 40:77 24
19 Fleetwood Town U21 28 5 8 15 36:63 23
20 Crewe U21 28 5 8 15 41:69 23
Promotion - Professional Development League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)