Sport Picks

Crewe vs Accrington - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

EFL Cup Alexandra Stadium, Crewe

Crewe

2 - 1

Accrington

Our Tip

Match Events

Lankester J.

(Penalty)

45'

Rawson F.

58'

Sub

Matthews D. In: Moore T.

Out: Matthews D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Crewe

35%

Draws

38%

Accrington

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Accrington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Crewe come out ahead of Accrington on wins alone.
Win probability leans Crewe's way, sitting at 42%.
Crewe have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Crewe, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Crewe Clean Sheet 16%

Accrington Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Crewe	Accrington
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	10	9
Draws	10	10
Losses	8	11
Goals Scored	1.43	1.27
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.47
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 EFL Cup

Crewe vs Accrington

2:1

Apr 3, 2026 League Two

Accrington vs Crewe

2:0

Aug 9, 2025 League Two

Crewe vs Accrington

2:0

Jan 25, 2025 League Two

Crewe vs Accrington

0:1

Sep 14, 2024 League Two

Accrington vs Crewe

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crewe Compare

Top Goalscorer Moore L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Accrington Compare

Top Goalscorer Rawson F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.31

Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crewe 41 / 100

Accrington 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Crewe Accrington

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Crewe scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Accrington conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Crewe remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Crewe VS Accrington

1.63 Goals Scored 1.88

1 Goals Conceded 1.63

88% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Crewe

(Home)

06 Oct

Blackpool

3 : 2

Crewe

03 Oct

Crewe

3 : 1

Bristol Rovers

26 Sept

Rotherham

1 : 1

Crewe

22 Sept

Crewe

4 : 1

Aston Villa U21

19 Sept

Crewe

1 : 1

Shrewsbury

Page 1 of 6

Accrington

(Away)

06 Oct

Accrington

2 : 1

Salford

03 Oct

Accrington

2 : 0

Cheltenham

26 Sept

Swindon

1 : 1

Accrington

22 Sept

Accrington

4 : 3

Sunderland U21

19 Sept

Accrington

0 : 0

Newport

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Fleetwood Town 1

Chesterfield 0

Salford 1

Shrewsbury 2

Burton 1

Blackburn 2

Mansfield 0

Sheffield Utd 3

Ipswich -

TBD -

Leicester 1

Northampton 0

TBD -

Arsenal -

Manchester City -

TBD -

Cardiff 3

Swindon 2

Norwich 4

Milton Keynes Dons 1

Manchester United -

TBD -

Brighton -

Preston 2

Huddersfield 1

TBD -

Everton -

Sheffield Wed 1

Bolton 0

Wolves 3

Port Vale 0

Cambridge Utd 2

Barnet 1

QPR 1

Millwall 2

Newcastle Utd -

TBD -

Rotherham 1

West Brom 4

Sunderland -

TBD -

Stoke City 2

Oldham 0

TBD -

Hull City -

Wycombe 1

Stevenage 2

Bromley 1

Reading 2

Swansea 0

Birmingham 1

TBD -

Brentford -

Liverpool -

TBD -

Tottenham -

TBD -

Cheltenham 1

Charlton 3

Chelsea -

TBD -

Gillingham 0

Luton 3

Nottingham -

TBD -

Leeds -

Bristol City 0

Walsall 1

Leyton Orient 2

Oxford Utd 0

Bradford City 2

Rochdale 0

Burnley 2

Notts County 1

Watford 1

Crawley Town 0

Bristol Rovers 0

Peterborough 1

Barnsley 2

Wigan 1

Crewe 2

Accrington 1

Colchester 0

Southampton 2

West Ham 3

Portsmouth 1

Fulham -

TBD -

AFC Wimbledon 2

Newport 1

Crystal Palace -

TBD -

Stockport County 1

Doncaster 2

Middlesbrough 1

Wrexham 0

Bournemouth -

TBD -

Grimsby 1

Blackpool 3

Derby 1

Lincoln City 2

Plymouth 2

Exeter 0

TBD -

Coventry -

TBD -

Aston Villa -

1/32-finals

Fleetwood Town 4

Shrewsbury 0

Blackburn 1

Sheffield Utd 2

Ipswich 3

Leicester 1

TBD -

Arsenal -

Manchester City -

TBD -

Cardiff 1

Norwich 2

Manchester United -

TBD -

Brighton -

Preston 0

Everton 4

Sheffield Wed 0

Wolves 2

Cambridge Utd 0

Millwall 1

Newcastle Utd 3

West Brom 2

Sunderland -

TBD -

Stoke City 1

Hull City 2

Stevenage 0

Reading 3

Birmingham 1

Brentford 6

Liverpool -

TBD -

Tottenham 5

Charlton 1

Chelsea 2

Luton 0

Nottingham 0

Leeds 2

Walsall 0

Leyton Orient 1

Bradford City 1

Burnley 0

Watford 1

Peterborough 5

Barnsley 3

Crewe 2

Southampton 1

West Ham 4

Fulham 3

AFC Wimbledon 0

Crystal Palace -

TBD -

Doncaster 1

Middlesbrough 3

Bournemouth -

TBD -

Blackpool 1

Lincoln City 4

Plymouth 2

Coventry 4

TBD -

Aston Villa -

1/16-finals

Fleetwood Town 1

Sheffield Utd 0

Ipswich 2

Arsenal 4

Manchester City 5

Norwich 0

Manchester United 2

Brighton 3

Everton 1

Wolves 0

Millwall 0

Newcastle Utd 1

Sunderland 1

Hull City 0

Reading 1

Brentford 2

Liverpool 3

Tottenham 1

Chelsea 6

Leeds 3

Leyton Orient 1

Bradford City 3

Peterborough 4

Barnsley 3

West Ham 2

Fulham 3

Crystal Palace 3

Middlesbrough 0

Bournemouth 4

Lincoln City 0

Coventry 1

Aston Villa 3

1/8-finals

Fleetwood Town -

Arsenal -

Manchester City -

Brighton -

Everton -

Newcastle Utd -

Sunderland -

Brentford -

Liverpool -

Chelsea -

Bradford City -

Peterborough -

Fulham -

Crystal Palace -

Bournemouth -

Aston Villa -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Crewe vs Accrington - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

Crewe

Accrington

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Crewe Compare

Accrington Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Crewe

Accrington

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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