Sport Picks
Crewe vs Stockport County
England
EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Alexandra Stadium, Crewe 
Match Events
5'
5'
Thibaut A.
Assist: Agius C.
33'
33'
Andresson B.
Assist: Mothersille M.
46'
46'
Sub
Edun T. In: Dodgson O.
Out: Edun T.
AI Match Summary
Stockport County in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
35%
39%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Stockport County
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Stockport County have won more games recently than Crewe.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Stockport County arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Stockport County, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Crewe Clean Sheet 11%
Stockport County Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Crewe | Stockport County |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 16 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.26 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.22 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 3, 2025 EFL Trophy
Crewe vs Stockport County
1:2
Aug 12, 2025 EFL Cup
Stockport County vs Crewe
3:1
Feb 13, 2024 League Two
Stockport County vs Crewe
1:3
Oct 24, 2023 League Two
Crewe vs Stockport County
0:2
Jan 31, 2023 League Two
Crewe vs Stockport County
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Crewe Compare
Top Goalscorer Thibaut A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Stockport County Compare
Top Goalscorer Andresson B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Crewe 30 / 100
Stockport County 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Crewe Stockport County
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stockport County Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Crewe scored in 74% of their last 27 games.
Stockport County let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Crewe stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Crewe VS Stockport County
1.25 Goals Scored 2.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Crewe
(Home) 12 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1 Crewe
05 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1 York City
01 Sept
Crewe
2 : 2 Walsall
29 Aug
Port Vale
0 : 0 Crewe
25 Aug
Barnsley
3 : 2 Crewe
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1 York City
01 Sept
Crewe
2 : 2 Walsall
22 Aug
Crewe
1 : 0 Northampton
08 Aug
Crewe
2 : 1 Accrington
25 Jul
Crewe
1 : 2 Birmingham
Page 1 of 3
Stockport County
(Away) 12 Sept
Stockport County
3 : 4 Leicester
05 Sept
Wigan
0 : 4 Stockport County
02 Sept
Luton
2 : 0 Stockport County
29 Aug
Stockport County
5 : 1 Wycombe
22 Aug
Stockport County
1 : 2 Blackpool
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Wigan
0 : 4 Stockport County
02 Sept
Luton
2 : 0 Stockport County
15 Aug
Plymouth
1 : 3 Stockport County
28 Jul
Oldham
0 : 1 Stockport County
24 May
Bolton
4 : 1 Stockport County
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Lincoln City 0
Huddersfield 2
Salford 2
Rotherham 7
Doncaster 5
Chesterfield 1
Tranmere 0
Fleetwood Town 3
Bolton 3
Bradford City 0
Port Vale 5
Barnsley 0
Crewe 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 4
Blackpool 2
Luton 4
Exeter 0
Swindon 1
Peterborough 0
Bristol Rovers 3
Cambridge Utd 2
Leyton Orient 0
Plymouth 1
Cardiff 1
AFC Wimbledon 5
Colchester 0
West Ham U21 1
Northampton 2
Wycombe 0
Stevenage 1
Walsall 2
1/8-finals
Huddersfield 3
Rotherham 0
Doncaster 3
Fleetwood Town 1
Bolton 0
Port Vale 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 1
Luton 1
Swindon 2
Bristol Rovers 3
Plymouth 4
AFC Wimbledon 4
West Ham U21 2
Northampton 4
Walsall 2
Quarter-finals
Huddersfield 1
Doncaster 2
Port Vale 0
Stockport County 4
Luton 2
Plymouth 1
AFC Wimbledon 1
Northampton 2
Semi-finals
Doncaster 0
Stockport County 1
Luton 2
Northampton 1
Final
Stockport County 1
Luton 3
