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Criciuma U20 vs Chapecoense-SC U20

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20
Sun, Aug 16, 2026
2 - 1
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Capella
22' Event
Joao Claudino
Own Goal
1' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Criciuma U20
35%
Draws
20%
Chapecoense-SC U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Criciuma U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Criciuma U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Criciuma U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Criciuma U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Criciuma U20, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Criciuma U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Chapecoense-SC U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Criciuma U20 Chapecoense-SC U20
Matches Played 38 35
Wins 21 17
Draws 10 6
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.71 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Catarinense U20
Criciuma U20 vs Chapecoense-SC U20
2:1
Aug 8, 2026 Catarinense U20
Chapecoense-SC U20 vs Criciuma U20
2:2
Jul 19, 2026 Catarinense U20
Criciuma U20 vs Chapecoense-SC U20
2:1
May 9, 2026 Catarinense U20
Chapecoense-SC U20 vs Criciuma U20
0:3
Sep 3, 2025 Catarinense U20
Chapecoense-SC U20 vs Criciuma U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Criciuma U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Capella
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Chapecoense-SC U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Criciuma U20 85 / 100
Chapecoense-SC U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Criciuma U20 Chapecoense-SC U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Criciuma U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Criciuma U20's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Chapecoense-SC U20 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 35 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Criciuma U20 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Criciuma U20 VS Chapecoense-SC U20
2 Goals Scored 2.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Criciuma U20

(Home)
09 Sept
Criciuma U20
3 : 1
FC Cascavel U20
29 Aug
Criciuma U20
2 : 1
Barra FC U20
22 Aug
Barra FC U20
2 : 2
Criciuma U20
16 Aug
Criciuma U20
2 : 1
Chapecoense-SC U20
08 Aug
Chapecoense-SC U20
2 : 2
Criciuma U20
Page 1 of 8

Chapecoense-SC U20

(Away)
10 Sept
Operario PR U20
3 : 2
Chapecoense-SC U20
16 Aug
Criciuma U20
2 : 1
Chapecoense-SC U20
08 Aug
Chapecoense-SC U20
2 : 2
Criciuma U20
29 Jul
Concordia U20
0 : 2
Chapecoense-SC U20
26 Jul
Chapecoense-SC U20
2 : 2
Nacao U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Criciuma U20 4
Chapecoense-SC U20 3
Barra FC U20 2
Avai U20 0
Final
Criciuma U20 4
Barra FC U20 3