Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Criciuma vs Camboriu

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense Estádio Heriberto Hülse, Criciúma
Sat, Mar 7, 2026
4 - 2
09:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Alisson
13'
Mansur
14' Event
Wermeson
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-2. This leg finished 4-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Criciuma
30%
Draws
41%
Camboriu
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Camboriu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Criciuma have won more games recently than Camboriu.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Criciuma have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Criciuma, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Criciuma Clean Sheet 20%
Camboriu Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Criciuma Camboriu
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 17 12
Draws 11 8
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.42 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Catarinense
Criciuma vs Camboriu
4:2
Mar 4, 2026 Catarinense
Camboriu vs Criciuma
1:0
Jan 23, 2026 Catarinense
Camboriu vs Criciuma
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Camboriu vs Criciuma
3:3
Sep 14, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Criciuma vs Camboriu
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Criciuma Compare

Top Goalscorer Waguininho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jhonata Robert
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Camboriu Compare

Top Goalscorer Mansur
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Criciuma 32 / 100
Camboriu 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Criciuma Camboriu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Criciuma found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (33 games).

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Camboriu conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Criciuma stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Criciuma VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Criciuma

(Home)
23 Aug
Criciuma
0 : 2
Fortaleza
20 Aug
Botafogo SP
1 : 1
Criciuma
15 Aug
Criciuma
1 : 0
Goias
09 Aug
Athletic Club
2 : 0
Criciuma
26 Jul
Criciuma
0 : 0
Nautico
Page 1 of 7

Camboriu

(Away)
07 Mar
Criciuma
4 : 2
Camboriu
04 Mar
Camboriu
1 : 0
Criciuma
28 Feb
Camboriu
1 : 0
Avai
21 Feb
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
3 : 0
Camboriu
15 Feb
Camboriu
1 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Concordia 2
Criciuma 6
TBD -
Brusque -
Santa Catarina 1
Avai 5
TBD -
Camboriu -
Semi-finals
Criciuma 1
Brusque 0
Avai 0
Camboriu 1
Final
Criciuma 4
Camboriu 3