Sport Picks
Match Events
20'
20'
Sub
Julio Cesar In: Richardson
Out: Julio Cesar
25'
25'
De Sena Araujo F. M.
Assist: Waguininho
60'
60'
Sub
Fernando In: Matheusinho
Out: Fernando
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ceara
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Criciuma lately — more wins on the board than Ceara.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Criciuma Clean Sheet 27%
Ceara Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Criciuma | Ceara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 5 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.76 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 16, 2026 Serie B
Criciuma vs Ceara
1:1
Sep 2, 2023 Serie B
Ceara vs Criciuma
1:0
May 21, 2023 Serie B
Criciuma vs Ceara
1:2
Nov 18, 2017 Serie B
Criciuma vs Ceara
1:1
Aug 2, 2017 Serie B
Ceara vs Criciuma
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Criciuma Compare
Top Goalscorer De Sena Araujo F. M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Ceara Compare
Top Goalscorer Joao Gabriel
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Criciuma 33 / 100
Ceara 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Criciuma Ceara
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ceara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Criciuma scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Ceara has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Criciuma went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Criciuma VS Ceara
1 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Criciuma
(Home) 23 Aug
Criciuma
0 : 2 Fortaleza
20 Aug
Botafogo SP
1 : 1 Criciuma
15 Aug
Criciuma
1 : 0 Goias
09 Aug
Athletic Club
2 : 0 Criciuma
26 Jul
Criciuma
0 : 0 Nautico
Page 1 of 6
23 Aug
Criciuma
0 : 2 Fortaleza
15 Aug
Criciuma
1 : 0 Goias
26 Jul
Criciuma
0 : 0 Nautico
18 Jul
Criciuma
2 : 0 Vila Nova FC
04 Jul
Criciuma
1 : 0 Sport Recife
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Ceara
(Away) 22 Aug
Ceara
2 : 1 Londrina
19 Aug
Nautico
1 : 0 Ceara
15 Aug
Ceara
1 : 3 Cuiaba
07 Aug
Ceara
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
26 Jul
Sao Bernardo
3 : 4 Ceara
Page 1 of 6
19 Aug
Nautico
1 : 0 Ceara
26 Jul
Sao Bernardo
3 : 4 Ceara
17 Jul
America MG
1 : 1 Ceara
04 Jul
Goias
2 : 0 Ceara
28 Jun
EC Juventude
2 : 0 Ceara
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EC Juventude | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 26:13 | 45 |
| 2 | Criciuma | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 25:17 | 44 |
| 3 | Vila Nova FC | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 35:25 | 41 |
| 4 | Novorizontino | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 39:21 | 40 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 27:21 | 40 |
| 6 | Sport Recife | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 32:22 | 38 |
| 7 | CRB | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 36 |
| 8 | Operario-PR | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30:31 | 36 |
| 9 | Atletico GO | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 27:23 | 36 |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 25:25 | 34 |
| 11 | Goias | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 23:29 | 33 |
| 12 | Cuiaba | 24 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 21:18 | 33 |
| 13 | Sao Bernardo | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 32 |
| 14 | Botafogo SP | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:26 | 31 |
| 15 | Nautico | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:27 | 31 |
| 16 | Avai | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:30 | 29 |
| 17 | Ceara | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 25:30 | 28 |
| 18 | Londrina | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | 21 |
| 19 | America MG | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 16:42 | 11 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16:50 | 10 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
