Sport Picks
Criciuma vs Vila Nova FC
Brazil
Serie B Estádio Heriberto Hülse, Criciúma 
Match Events
9'
9'
De Sena Araujo F. M.
Assist: Gui Lobo
26'
26'
Luciano Castan
34'
34'
Gui Lobo
AI Match Summary
The Serie B game between Criciuma and Vila Nova FC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Criciuma.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vila Nova FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Criciuma have managed 1.19 goals a game lately — Vila Nova FC are scoring more at 1.38.
- Win probability leans Vila Nova FC's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Criciuma Clean Sheet 13%
Vila Nova FC Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Criciuma | Vila Nova FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 Serie B
Criciuma vs Vila Nova FC
2:0
Oct 3, 2025 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs Criciuma
1:1
Jun 9, 2025 Serie B
Criciuma vs Vila Nova FC
1:0
Aug 23, 2023 Serie B
Criciuma vs Vila Nova FC
1:0
May 12, 2023 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs Criciuma
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Criciuma Compare
Top Goalscorer De Sena Araujo F. M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Marcelo Hermes
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Vila Nova FC Compare
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Criciuma 22 / 100
Vila Nova FC 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Criciuma Vila Nova FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vila Nova FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Criciuma scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.
Vila Nova FC has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.
Solid form: Criciuma remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Criciuma VS Vila Nova FC
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Criciuma
(Home) 22 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2 Operario-PR
13 Sept
Atletico GO
4 : 0 Criciuma
09 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2 EC Juventude
04 Sept
Criciuma
2 : 0 Cuiaba
30 Aug
CRB
2 : 1 Criciuma
Page 1 of 7
22 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2 Operario-PR
09 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2 EC Juventude
04 Sept
Criciuma
2 : 0 Cuiaba
23 Aug
Criciuma
0 : 2 Fortaleza
15 Aug
Criciuma
1 : 0 Goias
Page 1 of 4
Vila Nova FC
(Away) 25 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0 Londrina
18 Sept
Vila Nova FC
1 : 0 America MG
15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1 Vila Nova FC
10 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0 Goias
04 Sept
Athletic Club
5 : 0 Vila Nova FC
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1 Vila Nova FC
04 Sept
Athletic Club
5 : 0 Vila Nova FC
23 Aug
Operario-PR
0 : 0 Vila Nova FC
15 Aug
Atletico GO
0 : 2 Vila Nova FC
27 Jul
CRB
2 : 0 Vila Nova FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 43:31 | 54 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 33:24 | 51 |
| 4 | EC Juventude | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31:19 | 50 |
| 5 | Atletico GO | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 37:27 | 49 |
| 6 | Operario-PR | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 43:38 | 48 |
| 7 | Criciuma | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 47 |
| 8 | CRB | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 42:41 | 45 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 40:32 | 44 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 30:22 | 43 |
| 11 | Goias | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 30:36 | 42 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 40:31 | 42 |
| 13 | Nautico | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:37 | 41 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34:31 | 41 |
| 15 | Ceara | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33:39 | 36 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32:36 | 32 |
| 17 | Avai | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30:38 | 30 |
| 18 | Londrina | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 39:43 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21:49 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17:62 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
