Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cristal AP vs Independente AP

Brazil Brazil

Amapaense Estádio Augusto Antunes, Santana
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Fabio Linderberg
65' Event
Pires L.
84' Event
Risuenho J.

AI Match Summary

The Amapaense game between Cristal AP and Independente AP finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Independente AP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Cristal AP
30%
Draws
70%
Independente AP
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Independente AP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Independente AP come out ahead of Cristal AP on wins alone.
  • Model gives Independente AP a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Amapaense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Cristal AP Clean Sheet 10%
Independente AP Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cristal AP Independente AP
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 6 16
Draws 3 12
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.55
Goals Conceded 2 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Amapaense
Cristal AP vs Independente AP
0:3
Mar 29, 2025 Amapaense
Independente AP vs Cristal AP
2:2
May 28, 2011 Amapaense
Independente AP vs Cristal AP
0:1
Oct 10, 2009 Amapaense
Cristal AP vs Independente AP
4:0
Jun 7, 2008 Amapaense
Cristal AP vs Independente AP
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cristal AP Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Independente AP Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabio Linderberg
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pires L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cristal AP 10 / 100
Independente AP 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cristal AP Independente AP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independente AP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cristal AP found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Independente AP's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 38 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Difficult form: Independente AP registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cristal AP VS Independente AP
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cristal AP

(Home)
14 Mar
Oratorio
4 : 1
Cristal AP
10 Mar
Cristal AP
0 : 2
Ypiranga AP
02 Mar
Trem
3 : 1
Cristal AP
27 Feb
SAO Jose
2 : 1
Cristal AP
22 Feb
Cristal AP
1 : 2
Macapa
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Independente AP

(Away)
23 Mar
SAO Jose
2 : 2
Independente AP
20 Mar
Independente AP
2 : 2
SAO Jose
17 Mar
Independente AP
1 : 2
SAO Jose
13 Mar
Independente AP
1 : 1
Ypiranga AP
09 Mar
Macapa
1 : 3
Independente AP
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SAO Jose 7 5 1 1 11:7 16
2 Oratorio 7 5 0 2 15:8 15
3 Santos AP 7 4 2 1 17:9 14
4 Independente AP 7 3 3 1 14:7 12
5 Trem 7 3 2 2 12:8 11
6 Ypiranga AP 7 2 1 4 6:12 7
7 Macapa 7 1 1 5 4:15 4
8 Cristal AP 7 0 0 7 5:18 0
Promotion - Amapaense (Play Offs)