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Croatia U17 vs Scotland U17 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Horvat N.
30' Event
Murica L.
50' Event
Kostelac P.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Croatia U17 and Scotland U17 finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Croatia U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Croatia U17
15%
Draws
39%
Scotland U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Croatia U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Croatia U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Croatia U17 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Croatia U17 here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Croatia U17 Clean Sheet 17%
Scotland U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Croatia U17 Scotland U17
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.97 1.7
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2024 Friendly International
Croatia U17 vs Scotland U17
5:1
Oct 28, 2019 Euro U17
Croatia U17 vs Scotland U17
2:1
Aug 30, 2011 Friendly International
Croatia U17 vs Scotland U17
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Croatia U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kusanovic T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Horvat N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05

Scotland U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Croatia U17 48 / 100
Scotland U17 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Croatia U17 Scotland U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Croatia U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Croatia U17 found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Scotland U17 conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Croatia U17 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Croatia U17 VS Scotland U17
2.38 Goals Scored 1.67
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.83
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Croatia U17

(Home)
06 Oct
Croatia U17
0 : 1
Italy U17
31 May
Spain U17
2 : 3
Croatia U17
28 May
Estonia U17
1 : 3
Croatia U17
25 May
Croatia U17
0 : 2
Belgium U17
31 Mar
Poland U17
1 : 1
Croatia U17
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Scotland U17

(Away)
21 Mar
Northern Ireland U17
1 : 2
Scotland U17
18 Mar
Spain U17
3 : 0
Scotland U17
15 Mar
Scotland U17
2 : 0
Turkey U17
21 Feb
Poland U17
4 : 2
Scotland U17
18 Feb
Scotland U17
0 : 2
Norway U17
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