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Stadium Background

Croatia U17 W vs Italy U17 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro U17 Women 2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Bubica G.
15' Event
Popic L.
Assist: Skopljak M.
26'
Sterner M.

AI Match Summary

Croatia U17 W in this Euro U17 Women 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Croatia U17 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Croatia U17 W
20%
Draws
40%
Italy U17 W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Italy U17 W have won more games recently than Croatia U17 W.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Croatia U17 W taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U17 Women 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Croatia U17 W Clean Sheet 13%
Italy U17 W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Croatia U17 W Italy U17 W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 13 19
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.73 2
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Euro U17 Women
Croatia U17 W vs Italy U17 W
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Euro U17 Women
Italy U17 W vs Croatia U17 W
2:1
Mar 11, 2025 Euro U17 Women
Italy U17 W vs Croatia U17 W
0:0
Nov 1, 2024 Euro U17 Women
Croatia U17 W vs Italy U17 W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Croatia U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bubica G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Popic L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6

Italy U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciurleo E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Croatia U17 W 40 / 100
Italy U17 W 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Croatia U17 W Italy U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Croatia U17 W found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Croatia U17 W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Italy U17 W has conceded goals in 58% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Croatia U17 W VS Italy U17 W
1.17 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Croatia U17 W

(Home)
19 Mar
Turkey U17 W
2 : 2
Croatia U17 W
16 Mar
England U17 W
1 : 0
Croatia U17 W
13 Mar
Croatia U17 W
2 : 1
Italy U17 W
29 Oct
North Macedonia U17 W
0 : 1
Croatia U17 W
26 Oct
Italy U17 W
2 : 1
Croatia U17 W
Page 1 of 6

Italy U17 W

(Away)
07 Oct
Italy U17 W
1 : 3
Austria U17 W
17 Sept
Italy U17 W
2 : 2
Hungary U17 W
15 Sept
Italy U17 W
2 : 1
Hungary U17 W
19 Mar
Italy U17 W
2 : 3
England U17 W
16 Mar
Italy U17 W
3 : 0
Turkey U17 W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U17 W 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Denmark U17 W 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Sweden U17 W 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
4 Ireland U17 W 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Relegation - Euro U17 Women (Round 1 - League B)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U17 W 3 3 0 0 6:3 9
2 Croatia U17 W 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Italy U17 W 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
4 Turkey U17 W 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
Relegation - Euro U17 Women (Round 1 - League B)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Finland U17 W 3 2 1 0 11:1 7
2 Czech Republic U17 W 3 2 1 0 8:1 7
3 Romania U17 W 3 1 0 2 4:9 3
4 Latvia U17 W 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Relegation - Euro U17 Women (Round 1 - League B)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U17 W 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
2 Austria U17 W 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
3 Iceland U17 W 3 1 0 2 6:3 3
4 Serbia U17 W 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
Relegation - Euro U17 Women (Round 1 - League B)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U17 W 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Scotland U17 W 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Switzerland U17 W 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Greece U17 W 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
Relegation - Euro U17 Women (Round 1 - League B)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U17 W 3 2 1 0 15:1 7
2 Portugal U17 W 3 2 1 0 4:0 7
3 Hungary U17 W 3 1 0 2 9:11 3
4 Kosovo U17 W 3 0 0 3 3:19 0
Relegation - Euro U17 Women (Round 1 - League B)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U17 W 3 3 0 0 11:4 9
2 Netherlands U17 W 3 2 0 1 11:4 6
3 Slovakia U17 W 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
4 Wales U17 W 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
Relegation - Euro U17 Women (Round 1 - League B)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Main)