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Croatia U19 vs Italy U19

Europe Europe

Euro U19 2026 The Oval, Caernarfon
Croatia U19 Logo

Croatia U19

0 - 0
FT
Italy U19 Logo

Italy U19

Our Tip

Match Events

65'
Sub
Cocchi M. In: Marello M.
Out: Cocchi M.
65'
Sub
Liberali M. In: Comotto C.
Out: Liberali M.
72'
Sub
Bakovic T. In: Simic K.
Out: Bakovic T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Euro U19 2026 game between Croatia U19 and Italy U19 finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Croatia U19
20%
Draws
51%
Italy U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Italy U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Italy U19 come out ahead of Croatia U19 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Italy U19 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Croatia U19 Clean Sheet 18%
Italy U19 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Croatia U19 Italy U19
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 15
Draws 7 9
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.52 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 Euro U19
Croatia U19 vs Italy U19
0:0
Sep 3, 2025 Friendly International
Croatia U19 vs Italy U19
0:0
Sep 10, 2024 Friendly International
Croatia U19 vs Italy U19
2:2
Aug 14, 2018 Friendly International
Italy U19 vs Croatia U19
3:2
Mar 26, 2015 Euro U19
Italy U19 vs Croatia U19
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Croatia U19 28 / 100
Italy U19 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Croatia U19 Italy U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Croatia U19 scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Italy U19 has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Croatia U19 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Croatia U19 VS Italy U19
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Croatia U19

(Home)
28 Sept
Croatia U19
1 : 2
France U19
08 Jul
Spain U19
3 : 0
Croatia U19
05 Jul
Serbia U19
0 : 3
Croatia U19
02 Jul
Croatia U19
0 : 0
Italy U19
29 Jun
Croatia U19
1 : 3
Ukraine U19
Page 1 of 6

Italy U19

(Away)
28 Sept
Italy U19
3 : 0
Turkey U19
25 Sept
France U19
1 : 2
Italy U19
08 Jul
Denmark U19
1 : 0
Italy U19
05 Jul
Ukraine U19
1 : 0
Italy U19
02 Jul
Croatia U19
0 : 0
Italy U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U19 3 3 0 0 14:0 9
2 Germany U19 3 2 0 1 8:7 6
3 Denmark U19 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
4 Wales U19 3 0 0 3 0:14 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (5th-6th places)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine U19 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Croatia U19 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
3 Italy U19 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
4 Serbia U19 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (5th-6th places)