Sport Picks

Europe

Euro U19 The Oval

Italy U19

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Croatia U19 play Italy U19 in the Euro U19. It looks like a close match. Recently, Croatia U19 averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1 conceded. Italy U19 averaged 1.87 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, Croatia U19 won 0, Italy U19 won 1, and they drew 4. Their last match on Jul 2, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Croatia U19 and 1.44 for Italy U19. This points to a Italy U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Croatia U19

35%

Draws

33%

Italy U19

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Italy U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Croatia U19 picked up more points recently compared to Italy U19.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 49%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Croatia U19 Clean Sheet 16%

Italy U19 Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Croatia U19	Italy U19
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	14
Draws	9	11
Losses	7	5
Goals Scored	1.63	1.87
Goals Conceded	1	0.9
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 Euro U19

Croatia U19 vs Italy U19

Possession: 52% - 52% Cards: 4 - 4

0:0

Sep 3, 2025 Friendly International

Croatia U19 vs Italy U19

Possession: 47% - 48% Cards: 0 - 2

0:0

Sep 10, 2024 Friendly International

Croatia U19 vs Italy U19

Possession: 60% - 57% Cards: 1 - 1

2:2

Aug 14, 2018 Friendly International

Italy U19 vs Croatia U19

Possession: 58% - 49% Cards: 0 - 3

3:2

Mar 26, 2015 Euro U19

Italy U19 vs Croatia U19

Possession: 48% - 51% Cards: 2 - 2

2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Croatia U19 32 / 100

Italy U19 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Croatia U19 Italy U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Italy U19 or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Croatia U19 attacking → ← attacking Italy U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Croatia U19 scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Italy U19 let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Croatia U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Italy U19 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 53

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain U19	2	2	0	10:0	6
2	Germany U19	2	2	0	8:3	6
3	Denmark U19	2	0	2	3:7	0
4	Wales U19	2	0	2	0:11	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ukraine U19	2	2	0	0	5:2	6
2	Italy U19	2	1	1	0	2:0	4
3	Croatia U19	2	0	1	1	1:3	1
4	Serbia U19	2	0	0	2	1:4	0