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Croatia U19 W vs Bulgaria U19 W

Europe Europe

Euro U19 Women 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Naydenova S.
30'
Atanasova E.
31' Event
Sergeeva A.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U19 Women 2024 game between Croatia U19 W and Bulgaria U19 W finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Croatia U19 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Croatia U19 W
28%
Draws
22%
Bulgaria U19 W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Croatia U19 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Croatia U19 W come out ahead of Bulgaria U19 W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Croatia U19 W a 50% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U19 Women 2024 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Croatia U19 W have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Croatia U19 W Clean Sheet 68%
Bulgaria U19 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Croatia U19 W Bulgaria U19 W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 6 2
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.88 3
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2023 Euro U19 Women
Croatia U19 W vs Bulgaria U19 W
3:2
Oct 8, 2019 Euro U19 Women
Bulgaria U19 W vs Croatia U19 W
0:0
Sep 22, 2011 Euro U19 Women
Croatia U19 W vs Bulgaria U19 W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Croatia U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dubravica V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kolcic L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Bulgaria U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sergeeva A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Demirova P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Croatia U19 W 59 / 100
Bulgaria U19 W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Croatia U19 W Bulgaria U19 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Croatia U19 W's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Bulgaria U19 W has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Croatia U19 W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Croatia U19 W VS Bulgaria U19 W
1.88 Goals Scored 3
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Switzerland U19 W330035:09
2Albania U19 W32014:56
3Cyprus U19 W31024:193
4Lithuania U19 W30033:220
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bosnia & Herzegovina U19 W220013:06
2Estonia U19 W21019:13
3Gibraltar U19 W20020:210
4Liechtenstein U19 W00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Slovenia U19 W330021:39
2Kosovo U19 W32018:56
3Moldova U19 W30121:101
4Azerbaijan U19 W30120:121
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ukraine U19 W330014:19
2North Macedonia U19 W320111:26
3Armenia U19 W31021:123
4Luxembourg U19 W30030:110
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Croatia U19 W330015:29
2Bulgaria U19 W31115:54
3Latvia U19 W30211:62
4Georgia U19 W30121:91
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Slovakia U19 W21109:34
2Romania U19 W21104:34
3Kazakhstan U19 W20020:70