Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Croatia U19 W vs Lithuania U19 W

Europe Europe

Euro U19 Women 2025 Stadion Branko Cavlovic-Cavlek, Karlovac
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Andriuskeviciute A.
Own Goal
22'
Sub
Petkeviciute A. In: Ugne G.
Out: Petkeviciute A.
26'
Curin E.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U19 Women 2025 game between Croatia U19 W and Lithuania U19 W finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Croatia U19 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Croatia U19 W
15%
Draws
37%
Lithuania U19 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Croatia U19 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Croatia U19 W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Croatia U19 W are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Croatia U19 W Clean Sheet 68%
Lithuania U19 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Croatia U19 W Lithuania U19 W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 14 7
Draws 6 1
Losses 9 23
Goals Scored 2.03 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.41 3.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2025 Euro U19 Women
Croatia U19 W vs Lithuania U19 W
4:0
Sep 18, 2014 Euro U19 Women
Lithuania U19 W vs Croatia U19 W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Croatia U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Petkovic P.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Lithuania U19 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Croatia U19 W 86 / 100
Lithuania U19 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Croatia U19 W Lithuania U19 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Croatia U19 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Croatia U19 W scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Lithuania U19 W conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Croatia U19 W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Croatia U19 W VS Lithuania U19 W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Croatia U19 W

(Home)
17 Apr
Czech Republic U19 W
0 : 1
Croatia U19 W
14 Apr
Croatia U19 W
4 : 0
Georgia U19 W
11 Apr
Croatia U19 W
6 : 0
Azerbaijan U19 W
02 Dec
Croatia U19 W
1 : 4
Scotland U19 W
29 Nov
Norway U19 W
4 : 0
Croatia U19 W
Page 1 of 6

Lithuania U19 W

(Away)
18 Apr
Moldova U19 W
1 : 1
Lithuania U19 W
15 Apr
Kosovo U19 W
0 : 1
Lithuania U19 W
12 Apr
Lithuania U19 W
1 : 3
Faroe Islands U19 W
27 Oct
Moldova U19 W
0 : 7
Lithuania U19 W
24 Oct
Czech Republic U19 W
5 : 0
Lithuania U19 W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bulgaria U19 W 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Luxembourg U19 W 3 1 1 1 11:4 4
3 Georgia U19 W 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
4 Liechtenstein U19 W 3 0 0 3 0:19 0
Promotion - Euro U19 Women 2026 (Round 1 - League A)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Faroe Islands U19 W 3 2 1 0 11:2 7
2 Estonia U19 W 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
3 Cyprus U19 W 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
4 Moldova U19 W 3 0 0 3 1:15 0
Promotion - Euro U19 Women 2026 (Round 1 - League A)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kosovo U19 W 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Latvia U19 W 3 1 1 1 4:6 4
3 Malta U19 W 3 0 2 1 1:7 2
4 Kazakhstan U19 W 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Euro U19 Women 2026 (Round 1 - League A)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Ireland U19 W 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Montenegro U19 W 3 2 0 1 4:5 6
3 Albania U19 W 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Azerbaijan U19 W 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Euro U19 Women 2026 (Round 1 - League A)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U19 W 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 North Macedonia U19 W 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
3 Lithuania U19 W 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Armenia U19 W 3 0 1 2 2:11 1
Promotion - Euro U19 Women 2026 (Round 1 - League A)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Turkey U19 W 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
2 Hungary U19 W 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina U19 W 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Euro U19 Women 2026 (Round 1 - League A)