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Croatia W vs Gibraltar W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Cup Women Gradski Stadion, Sinj
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Match Events

21'
Vracevic T.
38' Event
Canjevac J.
Assist: Pezelj P.
38'
Sub
Lawrence A. In: Ferro K.
Out: Lawrence A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 9-0. The second leg ended 9-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Croatia W
15%
Draws
0%
Gibraltar W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Croatia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Gibraltar W haven't matched Croatia W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Croatia W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Croatia W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Croatia W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Croatia W Clean Sheet 20%
Gibraltar W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Croatia W Gibraltar W
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 1
Draws 2 1
Losses 14 25
Goals Scored 1.25 0.52
Goals Conceded 1.61 4.44
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 World Cup Women
Croatia W vs Gibraltar W
9:0
Apr 14, 2026 World Cup Women
Gibraltar W vs Croatia W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Croatia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Canjevac J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rudelic I.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Gibraltar W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Croatia W 85 / 100
Gibraltar W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Croatia W Gibraltar W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Croatia W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gibraltar W has conceded goals in 96% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Gibraltar W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Croatia W found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Croatia W VS Gibraltar W
2.38 Goals Scored 0.25
1 Goals Conceded 4.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Croatia W

(Home)
09 Jun
Croatia W
4 : 0
Bulgaria W
05 Jun
Kosovo W
0 : 1
Croatia W
18 Apr
Croatia W
9 : 0
Gibraltar W
14 Apr
Gibraltar W
0 : 1
Croatia W
07 Mar
Croatia W
0 : 1
Kosovo W
Page 1 of 6

Gibraltar W

(Away)
09 Jun
Gibraltar W
0 : 8
Kosovo W
05 Jun
Bulgaria W
3 : 1
Gibraltar W
18 Apr
Croatia W
9 : 0
Gibraltar W
14 Apr
Gibraltar W
0 : 1
Croatia W
07 Mar
Gibraltar W
0 : 5
Bulgaria W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lithuania W 6 3 2 1 11:3 11
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina W 6 3 2 1 23:5 11
3 Estonia W 6 3 2 1 11:6 11
4 Liechtenstein W 6 0 0 6 3:34 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kosovo W 6 5 0 1 20:3 15
2 Croatia W 6 5 0 1 16:1 15
3 Bulgaria W 6 2 0 4 10:11 6
4 Gibraltar W 6 0 0 6 1:32 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hungary W 6 5 1 0 21:2 16
2 Azerbaijan W 6 4 0 2 11:5 12
3 North Macedonia W 6 2 0 4 5:17 6
4 Andorra W 6 0 1 5 2:15 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Greece W 4 4 0 0 11:4 12
2 Faroe Islands W 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
3 Georgia W 4 0 0 4 4:10 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Romania W 4 3 1 0 8:0 10
2 Moldova W 4 1 2 1 2:1 5
3 Cyprus W 4 0 1 3 0:9 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belarus W 4 3 0 1 10:1 9
2 Kazakhstan W 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
3 Armenia W 4 0 1 3 1:13 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams