Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cronenberger vs TVD Velbert

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Onishi S.
28' Event
Wegner D.
31' Event
Wegner D.

AI Match Summary

TVD Velbert in this Oberliga Niederrhein 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored TVD Velbert.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Cronenberger
15%
Draws
36%
TVD Velbert
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cronenberger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • TVD Velbert haven't matched Cronenberger's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Cronenberger's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Niederrhein 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Cronenberger Clean Sheet 20%
TVD Velbert Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cronenberger TVD Velbert
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 8 7
Draws 3 6
Losses 19 21
Goals Scored 1.2 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.17 3.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.42 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2023 Club Friendly
TVD Velbert vs Cronenberger
0:2
May 17, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
Cronenberger vs TVD Velbert
2:4
Nov 13, 2022 Oberliga Niederrhein
TVD Velbert vs Cronenberger
1:0
Mar 27, 2022 Oberliga Niederrhein
TVD Velbert vs Cronenberger
5:3
Feb 14, 2021 Oberliga Niederrhein
TVD Velbert vs Cronenberger
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cronenberger Compare

Top Goalscorer Onishi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.86
Avg xA / game 1.21

TVD Velbert Compare

Top Goalscorer Wegner D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Glowacki A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cronenberger 85 / 100
TVD Velbert 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cronenberger TVD Velbert

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cronenberger Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TVD Velbert let in goals in 88% of their last 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Cronenberger scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Difficult form: TVD Velbert registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS TVD Velbert
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 3.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Cronenberger

(Home)
23 Jul
Fortuna Koln II
2 : 1
Cronenberger
19 Jul
TVD Velbert
0 : 2
Cronenberger
04 Jun
SC St.Tonis
2 : 2
Cronenberger
29 May
Cronenberger
2 : 4
Union Nettetal
20 May
Baumberg
1 : 0
Cronenberger
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TVD Velbert

(Away)
01 Jun
TVD Velbert
2 : 5
FC Monheim
25 May
Kleve
2 : 0
TVD Velbert
18 May
TVD Velbert
0 : 8
SC St.Tonis
09 May
Germania Ratingen
1 : 3
TVD Velbert
04 May
TVD Velbert
1 : 5
Meerbusch
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SSVg Velbert 40 29 7 4 93:33 94
2 Hilden 40 23 10 7 89:45 79
3 TVD Velbert 40 23 9 8 86:46 78
4 Germania Ratingen 40 22 8 10 79:55 74
5 SW Essen 40 22 7 11 84:52 73
6 Uerdingen 40 21 9 10 80:58 72
7 Schonnebeck 40 19 4 17 84:70 61
8 Meerbusch 40 16 11 13 81:67 59
9 Baumberg 40 16 10 14 78:54 58
10 Hamborn 40 16 8 16 77:79 56
11 Union Nettetal 40 15 10 15 65:72 55
12 Homberg 40 14 12 14 68:57 54
13 Sonsbeck 40 14 11 15 71:68 53
14 SC St.Tonis 40 13 14 13 59:60 53
15 Kleve 40 14 10 16 67:77 52
16 MSV Dusseldorf 40 12 14 14 71:68 50
17 FC Monheim 40 10 12 18 58:76 42
18 Cronenberger 40 8 6 26 38:87 30
19 TuRU Dusseldorf 40 7 8 25 35:85 29
20 Kray 40 6 6 28 47:110 24
21 FSV Duisburg 40 4 6 30 36:127 18
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2023/2024 (Main)