Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Crotone U19 vs Ascoli U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Russo A.
30' Event
Goure F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primavera 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Crotone U19
20%
Draws
64%
Ascoli U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ascoli U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ascoli U19 have won more games recently than Crotone U19.
  • Win probability leans Ascoli U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Crotone U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Ascoli U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crotone U19 Ascoli U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 7
Draws 10 9
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.67 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Primavera 2
Crotone U19 vs Ascoli U19
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 Primavera 2
Ascoli U19 vs Crotone U19
2:2
Feb 8, 2025 Primavera 2
Ascoli U19 vs Crotone U19
2:1
Sep 21, 2024 Primavera 2
Crotone U19 vs Ascoli U19
3:0
Feb 3, 2024 Primavera 2
Crotone U19 vs Ascoli U19
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crotone U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Goure F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Ascoli U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Russo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crotone U19 10 / 100
Ascoli U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crotone U19 Ascoli U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ascoli U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ascoli U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Ascoli U19's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Crotone U19 scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Crotone U19 VS Ascoli U19
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
3.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Crotone U19

(Home)
09 May
Crotone U19
2 : 2
Catanzaro U19
02 May
Cosenza U19
2 : 0
Crotone U19
25 Apr
Crotone U19
0 : 4
Bari U19
18 Apr
Palermo U19
7 : 1
Crotone U19
11 Apr
Crotone U19
2 : 3
Pescara U19
Page 1 of 6

Ascoli U19

(Away)
12 Sept
Bari U19
2 : 1
Ascoli U19
05 Sept
Ascoli U19
1 : 1
Spezia U19
22 Aug
Ascoli U19
4 : 1
Latina U19
09 May
Ascoli U19
1 : 2
Empoli U19
02 May
Perugia U19
3 : 2
Ascoli U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como U19 30 18 7 5 58:31 61
2 Lecco U19 30 18 6 6 65:50 60
3 Modena U19 30 16 7 7 55:38 55
4 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 14 5 11 58:59 47
5 Reggiana U19 30 13 7 10 58:44 46
6 Pro Vercelli U19 30 14 4 12 44:46 46
7 Entella U19 30 10 13 7 47:38 43
8 Sampdoria U19 30 12 5 13 57:48 41
9 Vicenza U19 30 10 8 12 45:53 38
10 Sudtirol U19 30 9 10 11 36:37 37
11 Udinese U19 30 9 9 12 53:50 36
12 Cittadella U19 30 9 9 12 42:49 36
13 Renate U19 30 7 12 11 34:44 33
14 Union Brescia U19 30 9 3 18 31:46 30
15 Venezia U19 30 6 8 16 32:63 26
16 Padova U19 30 6 7 17 34:53 25
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Empoli U19 30 23 5 2 74:19 74
2 Perugia U19 30 16 7 7 47:27 55
3 Pescara U19 30 15 7 8 51:37 52
4 Avellino U19 30 13 12 5 54:36 51
5 Pisa U19 30 13 9 8 54:41 48
6 Spezia U19 30 15 3 12 55:43 48
7 Catanzaro U19 30 14 6 10 42:35 48
8 Benevento U19 30 13 5 12 42:50 44
9 Ternana U19 30 11 9 10 51:54 42
10 Monopoli U19 30 10 7 13 39:50 37
11 Bari U19 30 9 8 13 42:42 35
12 Ascoli U19 30 8 9 13 47:50 33
13 Palermo U19 30 5 12 13 35:43 27
14 Cosenza U19 30 6 9 15 32:62 27
15 Salernitana U19 30 6 6 18 28:62 24
16 Crotone U19 30 1 10 19 20:62 13
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)