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Crotone U20 vs Ascoli U20

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Primavera - Group C 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Primavera - Group C 2011/2012 game between Crotone U20 and Ascoli U20 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crotone U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Crotone U20
15%
Draws
51%
Ascoli U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ascoli U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ascoli U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Primavera - Group C 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Crotone U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Ascoli U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crotone U20 Ascoli U20
Matches Played 34 35
Wins 8 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 1.53 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.85 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2013 Primavera - Group C
Crotone U20 vs Ascoli U20
2:1
Sep 22, 2012 Primavera - Group C
Ascoli U20 vs Crotone U20
3:2
Mar 10, 2012 Primavera - Group C
Ascoli U20 vs Crotone U20
4:1
Oct 29, 2011 Primavera - Group C
Crotone U20 vs Ascoli U20
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crotone U20 32 / 100
Ascoli U20 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crotone U20 Ascoli U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ascoli U20 let in goals in 86% of their last 35 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Crotone U20 scored in 76% of their last 34 outings.

Ascoli U20's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Crotone U20 VS Ascoli U20
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Crotone U20

(Home)
20 Apr
Catania U20
5 : 1
Crotone U20
13 Apr
Crotone U20
0 : 3
Pescara U20
06 Apr
Palermo U20
5 : 0
Crotone U20
03 Apr
Crotone U20
2 : 0
Juve Stabia U20
16 Mar
Bari U20
1 : 1
Crotone U20
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Ascoli U20

(Away)
20 Apr
Pescara U20
1 : 2
Ascoli U20
13 Apr
Ascoli U20
0 : 4
Catania U20
06 Apr
Lanciano U20
1 : 3
Ascoli U20
03 Apr
Ascoli U20
1 : 4
Palermo U20
23 Mar
Ascoli U20
0 : 2
Juve Stabia U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma U20 26 22 4 0 95:23 70
2 Lazio U20 26 19 5 2 93:20 62
3 Palermo U20 26 18 4 4 60:31 58
4 Catania U20 26 15 1 10 48:39 46
5 Napoli U20 26 13 6 7 41:38 45
6 Reggina U20 26 11 7 8 36:25 40
7 Lecce U20 26 12 3 11 53:58 39
8 Ascoli U20 26 9 3 14 34:59 30
9 Juve Stabia U20 26 4 13 9 28:36 25
10 Nocerina U20 26 7 4 15 37:64 25
11 Bari U20 26 6 6 14 39:55 24
12 Pescara U20 26 4 6 16 26:56 18
13 Crotone U20 26 3 7 16 36:65 16
14 Gubbio U20 26 2 5 19 17:74 11
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2011/2012 (Qualification)