Sport Picks
Crotone vs Audace Cerignola - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Ezio Scida, Crotone 
Match Events
25'
25'
Di Pasquale D.
37'
37'
Moreso O.
49'
49'
Paolucci L.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Crotone and Audace Cerignola finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crotone.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- Crotone's 1.45 goals per match outpaces what Audace Cerignola have produced (1.41).
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Crotone Clean Sheet 16%
Audace Cerignola Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Crotone | Audace Cerignola |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Crotone vs Audace Cerignola
1:1
Mar 29, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Audace Cerignola
3:1
Nov 21, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Crotone
2:0
Mar 16, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Audace Cerignola
2:1
Nov 3, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Crotone
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Crotone Compare
Top Goalscorer Musso A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Zunno M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Audace Cerignola Compare
Top Goalscorer Paolucci L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Crotone 31 / 100
Audace Cerignola 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Crotone Audace Cerignola
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Audace Cerignola Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Crotone's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Audace Cerignola has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Crotone has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Crotone VS Audace Cerignola
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Crotone
(Home) 03 Oct
Catania
2 : 1 Crotone
26 Sept
Crotone
2 : 1 Salernitana
20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2 Crotone
15 Sept
Crotone
0 : 2 Inter U23
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Crotone
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Crotone
2 : 1 Salernitana
15 Sept
Crotone
0 : 2 Inter U23
05 Sept
Crotone
2 : 2 Barletta
24 Aug
Crotone
0 : 1 Foggia
16 Aug
Crotone
0 : 2 Cosenza
Page 1 of 3
Audace Cerignola
(Away) 04 Oct
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0 Altamura
26 Sept
Picerno
2 : 1 Audace Cerignola
19 Sept
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0 Casertana
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0 Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Audace Cerignola
4 : 0 Giugliano
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Picerno
2 : 1 Audace Cerignola
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0 Audace Cerignola
06 Sept
Foggia
0 : 2 Audace Cerignola
28 Aug
Cavese
3 : 1 Audace Cerignola
03 May
Crotone
1 : 1 Audace Cerignola
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benevento | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 74:28 | 82 |
| 2 | Catania | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54:25 | 70 |
| 3 | Salernitana | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 50:42 | 69 |
| 4 | Cosenza | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 58:40 | 67 |
| 5 | Casertana | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 55:44 | 66 |
| 6 | Crotone | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 59:40 | 61 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 39:41 | 56 |
| 8 | Casarano | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 56:57 | 56 |
| 9 | Audace Cerignola | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 50:54 | 54 |
| 10 | Potenza | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 54:56 | 49 |
| 11 | Atalanta U23 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 53:50 | 45 |
| 12 | Altamura | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 32:49 | 45 |
| 13 | Latina | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 35:44 | 42 |
| 14 | Cavese | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 36:42 | 42 |
| 15 | Picerno | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 43:55 | 40 |
| 16 | Sorrento | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 39:55 | 39 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 35:52 | 37 |
| 18 | Foggia | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28:60 | 27 |
| 19 | Siracusa | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 48:57 | 26 |
| 20 | Trapani | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:54 | 24 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
