Sport Picks
Crotone vs Audace Cerignola
Italy
Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Ezio Scida, Crotone 
Match Events
25'
25'
Di Pasquale D.
37'
37'
Moreso O.
49'
49'
Paolucci L.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Crotone and Audace Cerignola finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crotone.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
35%
22%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Crotone
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Crotone carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Crotone's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Crotone Clean Sheet 68%
Audace Cerignola Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Crotone | Audace Cerignola |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Crotone vs Audace Cerignola
1:1
Mar 29, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Audace Cerignola
3:1
Nov 21, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Crotone
2:0
Mar 16, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Audace Cerignola
2:1
Nov 3, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Crotone
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Crotone Compare
Top Goalscorer Musso A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Zunno M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Audace Cerignola Compare
Top Goalscorer Paolucci L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Crotone 59 / 100
Audace Cerignola 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Crotone Audace Cerignola
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Crotone's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Audace Cerignola has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Crotone has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Crotone VS Audace Cerignola
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Crotone
(Home) 06 May
Casertana
1 : 1 Crotone
03 May
Crotone
1 : 1 Audace Cerignola
26 Apr
Crotone
2 : 5 Latina
19 Apr
Casarano
1 : 2 Crotone
13 Apr
Crotone
2 : 0 Catania
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Crotone
1 : 1 Audace Cerignola
26 Apr
Crotone
2 : 5 Latina
13 Apr
Crotone
2 : 0 Catania
29 Mar
Crotone
3 : 1 Audace Cerignola
15 Mar
Crotone
0 : 1 Salernitana
Page 1 of 3
Audace Cerignola
(Away) 03 May
Crotone
1 : 1 Audace Cerignola
26 Apr
Benevento
2 : 2 Audace Cerignola
19 Apr
Audace Cerignola
1 : 1 Altamura
12 Apr
Casertana
4 : 1 Audace Cerignola
06 Apr
Audace Cerignola
1 : 1 Latina
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Crotone
1 : 1 Audace Cerignola
26 Apr
Benevento
2 : 2 Audace Cerignola
12 Apr
Casertana
4 : 1 Audace Cerignola
29 Mar
Crotone
3 : 1 Audace Cerignola
09 Mar
Atalanta U23
3 : 2 Audace Cerignola
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benevento | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 74:28 | 82 |
| 2 | Catania | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54:25 | 70 |
| 3 | Salernitana | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 50:42 | 69 |
| 4 | Cosenza | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 58:40 | 67 |
| 5 | Casertana | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 55:44 | 66 |
| 6 | Crotone | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 59:40 | 61 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 39:41 | 56 |
| 8 | Casarano | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 56:57 | 56 |
| 9 | Audace Cerignola | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 50:54 | 54 |
| 10 | Potenza | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 54:56 | 49 |
| 11 | Atalanta U23 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 53:50 | 45 |
| 12 | Altamura | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 32:49 | 45 |
| 13 | Latina | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 35:44 | 42 |
| 14 | Cavese | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 36:42 | 42 |
| 15 | Picerno | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 43:55 | 40 |
| 16 | Sorrento | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 39:55 | 39 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 35:52 | 37 |
| 18 | Foggia | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28:60 | 27 |
| 19 | Siracusa | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 48:57 | 26 |
| 20 | Trapani | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:54 | 24 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
