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Stadium Background

Crotone vs Cavese

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Ezio Scida, Crotone
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Gomez G.
33'
Gallo A.
46'
Sub
Gallo A. In: Meli M.
Out: Gallo A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Crotone and Cavese finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crotone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Crotone
35%
Draws
32%
Cavese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Medium Confidence
  • Crotone carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Crotone Clean Sheet 19%
Cavese Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crotone Cavese
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 7 13
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Cavese
2:0
Oct 25, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Cavese vs Crotone
1:0
Jan 4, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Cavese
1:1
Sep 2, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Cavese vs Crotone
2:1
Feb 9, 2009 Lega Pro C1/B
Crotone vs Cavese
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crotone Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Cavese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crotone 32 / 100
Cavese 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crotone Cavese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Crotone scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Cavese has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Crotone remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Crotone VS Cavese
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Crotone

(Home)
06 May
Casertana
1 : 1
Crotone
03 May
Crotone
1 : 1
Audace Cerignola
26 Apr
Crotone
2 : 5
Latina
19 Apr
Casarano
1 : 2
Crotone
13 Apr
Crotone
2 : 0
Catania
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Cavese

(Away)
06 Aug
Cavese
0 : 1
Juve Stabia
30 Jul
Cavese
1 : 0
Sarnese
26 Apr
Cavese
1 : 1
Cosenza
19 Apr
Siracusa
1 : 1
Cavese
13 Apr
Benevento
0 : 1
Cavese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)