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Crotone vs FeralpiSalo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 Stadio Ezio Scida, Crotone
Crotone Logo

Crotone

3 - 1
FT
FeralpiSalo Logo

FeralpiSalo

Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Vinicius
45'
Vitale M.
47' Event
Crespi V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Crotone advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Crotone
20%
Draws
51%
FeralpiSalo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FeralpiSalo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Crotone haven't matched FeralpiSalo's recent run of results.
  • Model gives FeralpiSalo a 51% chance of winning this.
  • FeralpiSalo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Crotone, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Crotone here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Crotone Clean Sheet 19%
FeralpiSalo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crotone FeralpiSalo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 18
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.48 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.29 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2025 Serie C - Group A
FeralpiSalo vs Crotone
2:1
May 11, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Crotone vs FeralpiSalo
3:1
Aug 9, 2015 Coppa Italia
Crotone vs FeralpiSalo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crotone Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tumminello M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

FeralpiSalo Compare

Top Goalscorer Crespi V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crotone 28 / 100
FeralpiSalo 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crotone FeralpiSalo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FeralpiSalo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Crotone scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

FeralpiSalo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Crotone went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crotone VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Crotone

(Home)
03 Oct
Catania
2 : 1
Crotone
26 Sept
Crotone
2 : 1
Salernitana
20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2
Crotone
15 Sept
Crotone
0 : 2
Inter U23
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Crotone
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FeralpiSalo

(Away)
14 May
FeralpiSalo
2 : 1
Crotone
11 May
Crotone
3 : 1
FeralpiSalo
25 Apr
Arzignano
1 : 0
FeralpiSalo
18 Apr
FeralpiSalo
2 : 0
Pro Vercelli
11 Apr
Alcione Milano
0 : 3
FeralpiSalo
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Crotone -
TBD -
Benevento 1
Juventus U23 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FeralpiSalo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vicenza -
Renate 0
Arzignano 0
Giana Erminio 1
Virtus Verona 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monopoli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ternana -
AlbinoLeffe -
TBD -
Trento 1
Atalanta U23 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sassari Torres -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola -
Arezzo 3
Gubbio 1
Vis Pesaro 1
US Pontedera 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rimini -
Catania 3
Giugliano 2
Potenza 2
Picerno 0
Pescara -
TBD -
Pineto 0
Pianese 1
1/16-finals
Crotone 0
Juventus U23 0
TBD -
FeralpiSalo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vicenza -
Renate 1
Giana Erminio 2
TBD -
Monopoli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ternana -
AlbinoLeffe 1
Atalanta U23 3
TBD -
Sassari Torres -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola -
Arezzo 0
Vis Pesaro 1
TBD -
Rimini -
Catania 1
Potenza 0
Pescara 2
Pianese 1
1/8-finals
Crotone 4
FeralpiSalo 3
TBD -
Vicenza -
Giana Erminio 6
Monopoli 2
TBD -
Ternana -
Atalanta U23 8
Sassari Torres 3
TBD -
Audace Cerignola -
Vis Pesaro 5
Rimini 4
Catania 2
Pescara 2
Quarter-finals
Crotone 1
Vicenza 3
Giana Erminio 1
Ternana 2
Atalanta U23 2
Audace Cerignola 2
Vis Pesaro 2
Pescara 6
Semi-finals
Vicenza 1
Ternana 3
Audace Cerignola 2
Pescara 5
Final
Ternana 1
Pescara 2