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Crotone vs Lecce U19

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Gomez G.
46' Event
Kodor J.
88' Event
Nikko J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2023 game between Crotone and Lecce U19 finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Crotone
35%
Draws
39%
Lecce U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lecce U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Crotone come out ahead of Lecce U19 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Lecce U19's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Crotone Clean Sheet 20%
Lecce U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crotone Lecce U19
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2023 Club Friendly
Crotone vs Lecce U19
2:2
Jul 30, 2022 Club Friendly
Crotone vs Lecce U19
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crotone Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tumminello M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Lecce U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kodor J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nikko J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crotone 20 / 100
Lecce U19 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crotone Lecce U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lecce U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lecce U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Crotone found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Crotone stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crotone VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Crotone

(Home)
26 Sept
Crotone
2 : 1
Salernitana
20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2
Crotone
15 Sept
Crotone
0 : 2
Inter U23
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Crotone
05 Sept
Crotone
2 : 2
Barletta
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Lecce U19

(Away)
17 May
Monza U19
1 : 5
Lecce U19
12 May
Lecce U19
1 : 1
AS Roma U19
06 May
Lecce U19
1 : 1
AC Milan U19
28 Apr
Cagliari U19
1 : 1
Lecce U19
22 Apr
Lecce U19
3 : 0
Sampdoria U19
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