Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Crotone vs Viterbese

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Semenzato D.
26'
Tribuzzi A.
46'
Sub
Vitale M. In: Awua T.
Out: Vitale M.

AI Match Summary

Crotone in this Serie C - Group C 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Crotone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Crotone
30%
Draws
41%
Viterbese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Viterbese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Crotone have won more games recently than Viterbese.
  • Crotone are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Crotone Clean Sheet 19%
Viterbese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crotone Viterbese
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.55 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2023 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Viterbese
3:2
Nov 20, 2022 Serie C - Group C
Viterbese vs Crotone
1:3
Jun 20, 2004 Lega Pro C1/B
Crotone vs Viterbese
3:0
Jun 13, 2004 Lega Pro C1/B
Viterbese vs Crotone
0:0
Apr 25, 2004 Lega Pro C1/B
Viterbese vs Crotone
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crotone Compare

Top Goalscorer Tribuzzi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomez G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Viterbese Compare

Top Goalscorer Semenzato D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crotone 36 / 100
Viterbese 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crotone Viterbese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crotone scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Viterbese let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Crotone remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Crotone VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Crotone

(Home)
03 Oct
Catania
2 : 1
Crotone
26 Sept
Crotone
2 : 1
Salernitana
20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2
Crotone
15 Sept
Crotone
0 : 2
Inter U23
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Crotone
Page 1 of 7

Viterbese

(Away)
23 Apr
Viterbese
2 : 1
Virtus Francavilla
16 Apr
Turris
2 : 1
Viterbese
08 Apr
Viterbese
0 : 1
Monterosi
02 Apr
Gelbison
0 : 1
Viterbese
25 Mar
Viterbese
1 : 1
Audace Cerignola
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Catanzaro 38 30 6 2 102:21 96
2 Crotone 38 23 11 4 57:31 80
3 Pescara 38 19 8 11 58:42 65
4 Foggia 38 18 7 13 60:44 61
5 Audace Cerignola 38 16 12 10 48:41 60
6 Picerno 38 15 14 9 40:34 59
7 Monopoli 38 16 6 16 46:48 54
8 Latina 38 12 13 13 39:46 49
9 Potenza 38 10 18 10 49:57 48
10 Juve Stabia 38 12 10 16 37:49 46
11 Taranto 38 11 13 14 26:36 46
12 Giugliano 38 11 13 14 51:61 46
13 Virtus Francavilla 38 13 6 19 47:54 45
14 Avellino 38 11 10 17 42:49 43
15 Turris 38 11 10 17 40:56 43
16 Monterosi 38 10 14 14 39:45 42
17 ACR Messina 38 11 8 19 32:47 41
18 Gelbison 38 7 15 16 25:40 36
19 Viterbese 38 8 11 19 35:52 33
20 Fidelis Andria 38 6 15 17 29:49 33
Promotion - Serie B 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Out)