Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Crown Legacy vs Carolina Core

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Sportsplex at Matthews, Matthews, NC
Sat, Sep 12, 2026
2 - 3
11:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Romero B.
Assist: Subotic A.
32' Event
Smalls M.
Assist: Mbongue H.
46'
Sub
Kaloukian N. In: Raimbault T.
Out: Kaloukian N.

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between Crown Legacy and Carolina Core finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carolina Core.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Crown Legacy
15%
Draws
34%
Carolina Core
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crown Legacy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Crown Legacy come out ahead of Carolina Core on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Crown Legacy taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Carolina Core have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Crown Legacy Clean Sheet 11%
Carolina Core Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crown Legacy Carolina Core
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 22 10
Draws 0 0
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 2.53 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Crown Legacy vs Carolina Core
2:3
Jun 14, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Carolina Core vs Crown Legacy
2:0
Apr 25, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Carolina Core vs Crown Legacy
3:2
Sep 4, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Crown Legacy vs Carolina Core
3:4
Jul 9, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Crown Legacy vs Carolina Core
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crown Legacy Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Smalls M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Carolina Core Compare

Top Goalscorer Raimbault T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stewart J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crown Legacy 47 / 100
Carolina Core 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crown Legacy Carolina Core

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crown Legacy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Crown Legacy scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Carolina Core let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Crown Legacy remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Crown Legacy VS Carolina Core
2.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Crown Legacy

(Home)
20 Sept
FC Cincinnati 2
1 : 2
Crown Legacy
12 Sept
Crown Legacy
2 : 3
Carolina Core
04 Sept
Crown Legacy
4 : 0
Chicago Fire II
30 Aug
Orlando City B
3 : 2
Crown Legacy
23 Aug
Crown Legacy
3 : 1
Chattanooga
Page 1 of 6

Carolina Core

(Away)
20 Sept
Columbus Crew 2
2 : 1
Carolina Core
12 Sept
Crown Legacy
2 : 3
Carolina Core
04 Sept
Carolina Core
3 : 2
New England Revolution II
29 Aug
Chattanooga
5 : 2
Carolina Core
22 Aug
Carolina Core
1 : 3
FC Cincinnati 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)