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Croydon vs Adelaide Comets

Australia Australia

NPL South Australia Regency Park, Adelaide
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Pasia J.
37' Event
Mavrolambados A.
51' Event
Gomwikezwa G.

AI Match Summary

The NPL South Australia game between Croydon and Adelaide Comets finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Croydon
6%
Draws
4%
Adelaide Comets
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Croydon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Adelaide Comets haven't matched Croydon's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Croydon's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Croydon Clean Sheet 15%
Adelaide Comets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Croydon Adelaide Comets
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 2.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Comets vs Croydon
1:4
Apr 11, 2026 NPL South Australia
Croydon vs Adelaide Comets
2:2
Jun 14, 2025 NPL South Australia
Croydon vs Adelaide Comets
3:1
Mar 17, 2025 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Comets vs Croydon
2:0
Aug 3, 2024 NPL South Australia
Croydon vs Adelaide Comets
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Croydon Compare

Top Goalscorer Pasia J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Trimboli O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Adelaide Comets Compare

Top Goalscorer Mavrolambados A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomwikezwa G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Croydon 84 / 100
Adelaide Comets 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Croydon Adelaide Comets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adelaide Comets let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Croydon stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Croydon found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Croydon VS Adelaide Comets
2.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Croydon

(Home)
18 Jul
Adelaide City
2 : 2
Croydon
03 Jul
Adelaide Comets
1 : 4
Croydon
26 Jun
Croydon
3 : 0
Adelaide Utd U23
20 Jun
West Adelaide
5 : 5
Croydon
13 Jun
Croydon
4 : 1
Playford Patriots
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Adelaide Comets

(Away)
17 Jul
Campbelltown City
1 : 0
Adelaide Comets
03 Jul
Adelaide Comets
1 : 4
Croydon
26 Jun
Adelaide Comets
0 : 1
Adelaide City
20 Jun
Adelaide Utd U23
1 : 1
Adelaide Comets
12 Jun
Adelaide Comets
3 : 2
West Adelaide
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1MetroStars18114348:1937
2West Torrens Birkalla18113445:2636
3Adelaide City18106235:1636
4FK Beograd1893631:2130
5Playford Patriots1885536:2629
6Croydon1884640:3228
7Adelaide Utd U231867524:2425
8Sturt Lions FC18711030:3022
9Campbelltown City1864828:2922
10West Adelaide1847733:3419
11Adelaide Comets18341119:3513
12Para1802169:862
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - SA State League 2027 (Main)