Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Crumlin Star vs Limavady

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Crumlin Star advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Crumlin Star
15%
Draws
51%
Limavady
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Limavady

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Crumlin Star come out ahead of Limavady on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Crumlin Star have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Crumlin Star, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Crumlin Star Clean Sheet 18%
Limavady Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crumlin Star Limavady
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 15
Draws 0 4
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.43 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2023 Irish Cup
Crumlin Star vs Limavady
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crumlin Star 32 / 100
Limavady 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crumlin Star Limavady

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crumlin Star scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Limavady's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Crumlin Star has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Limavady
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Crumlin Star

(Home)
06 Jan
Institute
2 : 0
Crumlin Star
25 Dec
Crumlin Star
2 : 3
Comber Rec
25 Nov
Crumlin Star
2 : 0
Limavady
04 Jan
Ballymena
2 : 0
Crumlin Star
30 Nov
Coagh Utd
0 : 1
Crumlin Star
Page 1 of 6

Limavady

(Away)
26 Sept
Limavady
1 : 0
Cliftonville
19 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 0
Limavady
15 Sept
Limavady
3 : 1
Bangor FC
12 Sept
Crusaders
1 : 2
Limavady
05 Sept
Limavady
0 : 2
Dungannon
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Valley Rangers 0
Oxford Sunnyside 3
Ballymacash 3
Drumaness 1
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
Fivemiletown 0
Strabane Athletic 5
Dungannon -
TBD -
Willowbank 3
Tobermore 2
Crumlin Star 2
Limavady 0
TBD -
Institute -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Linfield -
TBD -
Warrenpoint 6
Lisburn Rangers 1
Queens University 3
Derriaghy 2
TBD -
Ballymena -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Loughgall -
TBD -
Rosemount Rec 3
Ballymoney 1
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Newington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
1/16-finals
Oxford Sunnyside 2
Ballymacash 3
Glentoran 1
Annagh 0
Ballyclare 5
Strabane Athletic 2
Dungannon 5
Willowbank 0
Crumlin Star 0
Institute 2
Crusaders 1
Ards 2
Linfield 4
Warrenpoint 2
Queens University 0
Ballymena 4
Carrick Rangers 1
Portadown 2
Bangor FC 3
Dergview 1
Coleraine 0
Cliftonville 3
Loughgall 3
Rosemount Rec 0
Harland & Wolff 1
Larne 4
Knockbreda 0
Glenavon 4
Newington FC 2
Dundela 1
Newry City 3
Ballinamallard 2
1/8-finals
Ballymacash 1
Glentoran 6
Ballyclare 3
Dungannon 2
Institute 1
Ards 0
Linfield 2
Ballymena 0
Portadown 2
Bangor FC 1
Cliftonville 4
Loughgall 0
Larne 5
Glenavon 0
Newington FC 2
Newry City 1
Quarter-finals
Glentoran 2
Ballyclare 0
Institute 1
Linfield 3
Portadown 0
Cliftonville 2
Larne 4
Newington FC 1
Semi-finals
Glentoran 1
Linfield 3
Cliftonville 2
Larne 0
Final
Linfield 1
Cliftonville 3