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Crumlin United vs Valley Rangers

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Crumlin United play Valley Rangers in the Irish Cup 2017/2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Crumlin United averaged 1.9 goals scored and 2.63 conceded. Valley Rangers averaged 2.47 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. In past meetings, Crumlin United won 1, Valley Rangers won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 4, 2017 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.04 for Crumlin United and 2.05 for Valley Rangers. This points to a Valley Rangers double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Crumlin United
15%
Draws
44%
Valley Rangers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valley Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Crumlin United picked up more points recently compared to Valley Rangers.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.04 vs 2.05 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Crumlin United Clean Sheet 10%
Valley Rangers Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 84%
Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crumlin United Valley Rangers
Matches Played 30 15
Wins 13 9
Draws 0 0
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.9 2.47
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.20

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2017 Irish Cup
Crumlin United vs Valley Rangers
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crumlin United 39 / 100
Valley Rangers 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crumlin United Valley Rangers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Valley Rangers or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Crumlin United attacking → ← attacking Valley Rangers

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crumlin United scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Valley Rangers let in goals in 73% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Crumlin United went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Valley Rangers lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 27
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.60
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.20