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Crusaders vs Annagh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 Seaview, Belfast
Fri, May 1, 2026
2 - 2
06:45 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Donnelly P.
(Penalty)
20'
Sub
Redman R. In: Calvert K.
Out: Redman R.
29'
Donnelly P.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Crusaders
20%
Draws
52%
Annagh
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Annagh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Annagh average 1.72 goals a game right now, well clear of Crusaders's 1.48.
  • Model gives Annagh a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Crusaders Clean Sheet 10%
Annagh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crusaders Annagh
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.48 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Annagh
2:2
Apr 28, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Annagh vs Crusaders
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crusaders Compare

Top Goalscorer Nixon S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Annagh Compare

Top Goalscorer Upton L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crusaders 10 / 100
Annagh 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crusaders Annagh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Annagh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Crusaders's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Annagh let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Crusaders stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crusaders VS Annagh
1.75 Goals Scored 2.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Crusaders

(Home)
03 Oct
Carrick Rangers
4 : 0
Crusaders
26 Sept
Crusaders
2 : 1
Bangor FC
19 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Crusaders
15 Sept
Crusaders
3 : 0
Dungannon
12 Sept
Crusaders
1 : 2
Limavady
Page 1 of 6

Annagh

(Away)
03 Oct
Warrenpoint
1 : 1
Annagh
26 Sept
Annagh
5 : 0
Institute
18 Sept
Newry City
1 : 1
Annagh
12 Sept
Annagh
3 : 1
Harland & Wolff
04 Sept
Annagh
2 : 1
Ards
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Annagh 4
Crusaders 5