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Crusaders vs Ballinamallard

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Crusaders
15%
Draws
46%
Ballinamallard
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ballinamallard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Crusaders have won more games recently than Ballinamallard.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Crusaders have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Crusaders Clean Sheet 12%
Ballinamallard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crusaders Ballinamallard
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.48 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Crusaders vs Ballinamallard
0:0
Feb 5, 2022 Irish Cup
Ballinamallard vs Crusaders
0:1
Sep 26, 2020 Club Friendly
Crusaders vs Ballinamallard
2:0
May 4, 2019 Irish Cup
Ballinamallard vs Crusaders
0:3
Oct 9, 2018 Irish League Cup
Crusaders vs Ballinamallard
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crusaders 30 / 100
Ballinamallard 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crusaders Ballinamallard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ballinamallard's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Crusaders scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Crusaders remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Crusaders VS Ballinamallard
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Crusaders

(Home)
26 Sept
Crusaders
2 : 1
Bangor FC
19 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Crusaders
15 Sept
Crusaders
3 : 0
Dungannon
12 Sept
Crusaders
1 : 2
Limavady
05 Sept
Coleraine
4 : 1
Crusaders
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Ballinamallard

(Away)
26 Sept
Newington FC
4 : 0
Ballinamallard
19 Sept
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3
Ballinamallard
12 Sept
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Glenavon
05 Sept
Loughgall
1 : 6
Ballinamallard
29 Aug
Ballinamallard
1 : 3
Annagh
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