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Crusaders vs Ballinamallard

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Crusaders
35%
Draws
28%
Ballinamallard
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Crusaders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Very High Confidence
  • Crusaders have won more games recently than Ballinamallard.
  • Model gives Crusaders a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Crusaders have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Crusaders Clean Sheet 68%
Ballinamallard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crusaders Ballinamallard
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 5
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Crusaders vs Ballinamallard
0:0
Feb 5, 2022 Irish Cup
Ballinamallard vs Crusaders
0:1
Sep 26, 2020 Club Friendly
Crusaders vs Ballinamallard
2:0
May 4, 2019 Irish Cup
Ballinamallard vs Crusaders
0:3
Oct 9, 2018 Irish League Cup
Crusaders vs Ballinamallard
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crusaders 68 / 100
Ballinamallard 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crusaders Ballinamallard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crusaders's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ballinamallard has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Crusaders remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Crusaders VS Ballinamallard
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Crusaders

(Home)
01 Aug
Crusaders
2 : 0
Dundela
28 Jul
Crusaders
1 : 1
Newington FC
25 Jul
Moyola
2 : 1
Crusaders
21 Jul
Crusaders
2 : 0
Glenavon
18 Jul
Crusaders
0 : 0
Ballinamallard
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Ballinamallard

(Away)
31 Jul
Ballinamallard
1 : 2
Bangor FC
18 Jul
Crusaders
0 : 0
Ballinamallard
11 Jul
Limavady
0 : 0
Ballinamallard
25 Apr
Ballinamallard
2 : 2
Dundela
21 Apr
Ballinamallard
6 : 0
Armagh
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