Sport Picks
Crusaders vs Ballymacash
Northern Ireland
Irish League Cup 2025/2026 Seaview, Belfast 
Match Events
40'
40'
Brooks A.
50'
50'
Doyle J.
61'
61'
Bryden F.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with Crusaders advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
73%
15%
12%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crusaders
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Crusaders carry the better recent record into this one.
- 73% — that's where the model lands on Crusaders taking it.
- Crusaders have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Crusaders, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Crusaders Clean Sheet 68%
Ballymacash Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Crusaders | Ballymacash |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.58 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.89 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 7, 2025 Irish League Cup
Crusaders vs Ballymacash
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Crusaders Compare
Top Goalscorer Brooks A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dunlop E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Ballymacash Compare
Top Goalscorer Doyle J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.54
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Crusaders 95 / 100
Ballymacash 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Crusaders Ballymacash
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Crusaders Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Crusaders found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).
Ballymacash's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Away concern: Ballymacash has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Crusaders VS Ballymacash
1.38 Goals Scored 1.2
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.4
88% Over 1.5 80%
38% Over 2.5 60%
0% Over 3.5 40%
Recent Form & Match History
Crusaders
(Home) 19 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0 Crusaders
15 Sept
Crusaders
3 : 0 Dungannon
12 Sept
Crusaders
1 : 2 Limavady
05 Sept
Coleraine
4 : 1 Crusaders
29 Aug
Glentoran
1 : 2 Crusaders
Page 1 of 7
15 Sept
Crusaders
3 : 0 Dungannon
12 Sept
Crusaders
1 : 2 Limavady
22 Aug
Crusaders
3 : 2 Portadown
15 Aug
Crusaders
2 : 1 Ballymena
01 Aug
Crusaders
2 : 0 Dundela
Page 1 of 4
Ballymacash
(Away) 25 Jul
Annagh
5 : 2 Ballymacash
18 Jul
Ballymacash
2 : 3 Greystones United
15 Jul
Ards Rangers
1 : 1 Ballymacash
11 Jul
Ballymacash
1 : 2 Newington FC
11 Jul
Ballymacash
0 : 1 Dunmurry Rec
Page 1 of 7
25 Jul
Annagh
5 : 2 Ballymacash
15 Jul
Ards Rangers
1 : 1 Ballymacash
07 Feb
Harland & Wolff
3 : 0 Ballymacash
10 Jan
Comber Rec
0 : 3 Ballymacash
07 Oct
Crusaders
3 : 1 Ballymacash
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Crusaders -
TBD -
Oxford Sunnyside 1
Ballymacash 5
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Ballyclare 1
Coagh Utd 2
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
Strabane Athletic -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Moyola 5
Portstewart 3
TBD -
Annagh -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Newry City 3
Knockbreda 0
TBD -
Portadown -
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Newington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Dergview 3
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Larne -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery 3
Banbridge 2
1/16-finals
Institute 0
Glentoran 1
Crusaders 3
Ballymacash 1
Cliftonville 4
Coagh Utd 1
Loughgall 2
Strabane Athletic 3
Ards 1
Dungannon 2
Moyola 3
Annagh 0
Dollingstown 0
Coleraine 8
Armagh 3
Carrick Rangers 2
Newry City 1
Portadown 0
Warrenpoint 0
Glenavon 2
Harland & Wolff 6
Dundela 0
Linfield 2
Queens University 0
Ballymena 1
Ballinamallard 0
Newington FC 3
Limavady 1
Dergview 3
Larne 7
Bangor FC 4
Lisburn Distillery 1
1/8-finals
Glentoran 2
Crusaders 1
Cliftonville 5
Strabane Athletic 2
Dungannon 0
Moyola 1
Coleraine 7
Armagh 1
Newry City 1
Glenavon 0
Harland & Wolff 3
Linfield 6
Ballymena 3
Newington FC 0
Larne 2
Bangor FC 1
Quarter-finals
Glentoran 2
Cliftonville 1
Moyola 0
Coleraine 2
Newry City 2
Linfield 3
Ballymena 2
Larne 0
Semi-finals
Glentoran 2
Coleraine 1
Linfield 1
Ballymena 0
Final
Glentoran 0
Linfield 1
