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Crusaders vs Ballymena

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Seaview, Belfast
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Crusaders host Ballymena in the NIFL Premiership. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Crusaders have averaged 1.88 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Ballymena's 2.63 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Crusaders slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (1.50 - 1.88) back Ballymena to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Crusaders
33%
Draws
40%
Ballymena
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Ballymena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ballymena come out ahead of Crusaders on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ballymena a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Crusaders Clean Sheet 10%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crusaders Ballymena
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.88 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Ballymena
3:2
Feb 17, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Crusaders
2:0
Nov 22, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Crusaders
2:2
Sep 20, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Ballymena
1:1
Feb 15, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Ballymena
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crusaders 26 / 100
Ballymena 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crusaders Ballymena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ballymena has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Crusaders scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Crusaders stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crusaders VS Ballymena
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Crusaders

(Home)
25 Jul
Moyola
2 : 1
Crusaders
21 Jul
Crusaders
2 : 0
Glenavon
18 Jul
Crusaders
0 : 0
Ballinamallard
11 Jul
Crusaders
2 : 0
Warrenpoint
04 Jul
Queen of the South
1 : 2
Crusaders
Page 1 of 6

Ballymena

(Away)
25 Jul
Portstewart
1 : 5
Ballymena
24 Jul
Carrick Rangers
0 : 3
Ballymena
18 Jul
Dundela
2 : 3
Ballymena
18 Jul
Queens University
1 : 1
Ballymena
11 Jul
Ballyclare
0 : 2
Ballymena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Glentoran00000:00
2Cliftonville00000:00
3Ballymena00000:00
4Bangor FC00000:00
5Coleraine00000:00
6Crusaders00000:00
7Dungannon00000:00
8Linfield00000:00
9Larne00000:00
10Limavady00000:00
11Portadown00000:00
12Carrick Rangers00000:00
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)