Sport Picks

Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2013/2014 Seaview, Belfast

Crusaders

4 - 0

Ballymoney

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

Owens J.

36'

Owens J.

76'

Owens J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Crusaders advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%

Crusaders

15%

Draws

21%

Ballymoney

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crusaders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Crusaders come out ahead of Ballymoney on wins alone.
Win probability leans Crusaders's way, sitting at 90%.
Crusaders have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Crusaders, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Crusaders have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%

Crusaders Clean Sheet 68%

Ballymoney Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Crusaders	Ballymoney
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	12	9
Draws	6	1
Losses	11	20
Goals Scored	1.59	1.37
Goals Conceded	1.76	2.6
Expected Goals (xG)	1.67	0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2014 Irish Cup

Crusaders vs Ballymoney

4:0

Jan 17, 2009 Irish Cup

Crusaders vs Ballymoney

1:0

Mar 11, 2006 NIFL Championship

Ballymoney vs Crusaders

1:3

Oct 29, 2005 NIFL Championship

Crusaders vs Ballymoney

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crusaders Compare

Top Goalscorer Owens J.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Dempster C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.28

Avg xA / game 0.83

Ballymoney Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85

Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crusaders 95 / 100

Ballymoney 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Crusaders Ballymoney

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crusaders Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crusaders's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ballymoney has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Crusaders went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crusaders VS -

2.13 Goals Scored 0

0.88 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

63% Over 2.5 0%

50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Crusaders

(Home)

12 Sept

Crusaders

1 : 2

Limavady

05 Sept

Coleraine

4 : 1

Crusaders

29 Aug

Glentoran

1 : 2

Crusaders

22 Aug

Crusaders

3 : 2

Portadown

15 Aug

Crusaders

2 : 1

Ballymena

Page 1 of 6

Ballymoney

(Away)

25 Nov

Rosemount Rec

3 : 1

Ballymoney

07 Jan

Newington FC

2 : 1

Ballymoney

28 Sept

Ballymoney

2 : 3

East Belfast

29 Sept

Ballymoney

1 : 5

Strabane Athletic

18 Aug

Rosario Youth

1 : 2

Ballymoney

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Ballymena -

TBD -

Killymoon -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Dergview -

TBD -

Nortel 0

Drumaness 2

TBD -

Linfield -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Cliftonville -

Moyola -

TBD -

Annagh -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Bangor FC -

TBD -

Knockbreda -

Ardglass 5

Carniny Amateur & Youth 3

TBD -

Glebe -

Chimney -

TBD -

Wakehurst -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Lisburn Distillery -

TBD -

Institute -

Tobermore -

TBD -

PSNI -

Limavady -

TBD -

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 0

Derriaghy 3

Lurgan Celtic -

TBD -

Queens University -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Sirocco 2

Rathfern Rangers 1

TBD -

Sport & Leisure -

Strabane Athletic 2

Crumlin United 0

Bryansburn 1

Lisburn Rangers 3

TBD -

Ballinamallard -

Armagh -

TBD -

Loughgall -

TBD -

Ards -

Portadown -

TBD -

Glentoran -

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Larne -

Downshire Y.M. 3

Shankill 2

Immaculata 0

Kilmore Rec 1

Dundela -

TBD -

Portstewart -

Coagh Utd -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Ballymoney -

TBD -

Newington FC -

Rathfriland Rangers 4

Bangor Swifts 1

TBD -

Banbridge -

Crumlin Star 2

Newbuildings 1

Downpatrick 0

Newry City 1

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/32-finals

Ballymena -

TBD -

Killymoon 1

Harland & Wolff 8

Dergview 2

Drumaness 0

TBD -

Linfield -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Cliftonville -

Moyola 2

Annagh 0

TBD -

Dungannon -

Bangor FC 5

Knockbreda 2

Ardglass 2

Glebe 3

Chimney 3

Wakehurst 0

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Lisburn Distillery 2

Institute 1

Tobermore 1

PSNI 2

Limavady 2

Derriaghy 1

Lurgan Celtic 0

Queens University 5

Glenavon -

TBD -

Sirocco 1

Sport & Leisure 2

Strabane Athletic 2

Lisburn Rangers 0

TBD -

Ballinamallard -

Armagh 2

Loughgall 0

TBD -

Ards -

Portadown -

TBD -

Glentoran -

Ballyclare 4

Larne 1

Downshire Y.M. 1

Kilmore Rec 3

Dundela 5

Portstewart 2

Coagh Utd 0

Carrick Rangers 2

Ballymoney 3

Newington FC 1

Rathfriland Rangers 2

Banbridge 4

Crumlin Star 4

Newry City 1

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/16-finals

Ballymena 3

Harland & Wolff 2

Dergview 0

Linfield 5

Coleraine 6

Cliftonville 5

Moyola 1

Dungannon 5

Bangor FC 7

Glebe 1

Chimney 0

Warrenpoint 2

Lisburn Distillery 2

PSNI 0

Limavady 0

Queens University 1

Glenavon 7

Sport & Leisure 0

Strabane Athletic 0

Ballinamallard 1

Armagh 5

Ards 3

Portadown 1

Glentoran 3

Ballyclare 3

Kilmore Rec 0

Dundela 2

Carrick Rangers 3

Ballymoney 1

Banbridge 0

Crumlin Star 1

Crusaders 2

1/8-finals

Ballymena 2

Linfield 1

Coleraine 2

Dungannon 3

Bangor FC 1

Warrenpoint 0

Lisburn Distillery 0

Queens University 2

Glenavon 3

Ballinamallard 0

Armagh 2

Glentoran 3

Ballyclare 2

Carrick Rangers 1

Ballymoney 0

Crusaders 4

Quarter-finals

Ballymena 4

Dungannon 1

Bangor FC 2

Queens University 3

Glenavon 2

Glentoran 1

Ballyclare 0

Crusaders 5

Semi-finals

Ballymena 3

Queens University 0

Glenavon 3

Crusaders 1

Final

Ballymena 1

Glenavon 2

Crusaders vs Ballymoney

Northern Ireland

Crusaders

Ballymoney

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Crusaders Compare

Ballymoney Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Crusaders

Ballymoney

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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