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Crusaders W vs Coventry Sphinx W

England England

Women’s FA Cup 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Coventry Sphinx W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Crusaders W
15%
Draws
39%
Coventry Sphinx W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crusaders W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Crusaders W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Crusaders W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Coventry Sphinx W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 98%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 98%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Crusaders W Clean Sheet 10%
Coventry Sphinx W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crusaders W Coventry Sphinx W
Matches Played 30 5
Wins 10 2
Draws 4 0
Losses 16 3
Goals Scored 1.57 1.6
Goals Conceded 3.4 3
Expected Goals (xG) 3.88 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 11, 2011 Women’s FA Cup
Crusaders W vs Coventry Sphinx W
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crusaders W 29 / 100
Coventry Sphinx W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crusaders W Coventry Sphinx W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crusaders W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coventry Sphinx W has conceded goals in 80% of their last 5 outings.

Crusaders W's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Crusaders W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Crusaders W VS Coventry Sphinx W
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 6
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Crusaders W

(Home)
18 Sept
Crusaders W
3 : 2
Larne W
04 Sept
Crusaders W
3 : 0
Larne W
28 Aug
Linfield W
7 : 1
Crusaders W
14 Aug
Crusaders W
1 : 1
Lisburn Ladies W
07 Aug
Glentoran W
5 : 1
Crusaders W
Page 1 of 6

Coventry Sphinx W

(Away)
26 Oct
Coventry Sphinx W
0 : 6
Derby W
27 Nov
Coventry Sphinx W
1 : 5
Solihull Moors W
13 Nov
Worcester W
3 : 4
Coventry Sphinx W
08 Jan
Coventry Sphinx W
0 : 1
Peterborough Northern Star W
11 Dec
Crusaders W
0 : 3
Coventry Sphinx W

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Birmingham W -
TBD -
TBD -
Liverpool W -
Keynsham Town W 5
Sheffield Wed W 2
Gwalia United W 0
Sunderland W 7
Bristol City W -
TBD -
Coventry United W 1
Leeds W 2
Charlton W 2
Derby W 0
Preston W 0
Blackburn W 2
London Bees W 3
Sporting Club Albion W 0
TBD -
Doncaster W -
Chelsea W -
TBD -
Brighton W 3
Larkhall W 0
Notts County W -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal W -
Enfield Town W 0
Manchester City W 2
TBD -
Everton W -
1/8-finals
Birmingham W 3
Liverpool W 0
Keynsham Town W 1
Sunderland W 5
Bristol City W 3
Leeds W 0
Charlton W 1
Blackburn W 5
London Bees W 1
Doncaster W 2
Chelsea W 3
Brighton W 0
Notts County W 0
Arsenal W 1
Manchester City W 1
Everton W 5
Quarter-finals
Birmingham W 4
Sunderland W 0
Bristol City W 3
Blackburn W 0
Doncaster W 0
Chelsea W 2
Arsenal W 2
Everton W 1
Semi-finals
Birmingham W 4
Bristol City W 1
Chelsea W 2
Arsenal W 0
Final
Birmingham W 3
Chelsea W 2