Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Crusaders W vs Larne W

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Premiership Women
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Rea J.
58' Event
McNeill D.
60' Event
Reilly M.

AI Match Summary

The Premiership Women game between Crusaders W and Larne W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crusaders W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Crusaders W
15%
Draws
0%
Larne W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crusaders W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Crusaders W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Crusaders W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premiership Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
  • History favors Crusaders W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Crusaders W Clean Sheet 10%
Larne W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crusaders W Larne W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 1
Draws 4 3
Losses 14 25
Goals Scored 1.72 0.72
Goals Conceded 3.41 4.24
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Premiership Women
Crusaders W vs Larne W
3:2
Sep 4, 2026 Premiership Women
Crusaders W vs Larne W
3:0
May 1, 2026 Premiership Women
Larne W vs Crusaders W
2:2
Sep 26, 2025 Premiership Women
Crusaders W vs Larne W
3:2
Sep 1, 2025 Premiership Women
Larne W vs Crusaders W
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crusaders W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rea J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McNeill D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.35
Avg xA / game 1.53

Larne W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crusaders W 83 / 100
Larne W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crusaders W Larne W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crusaders W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Larne W let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Larne W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Crusaders W's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Crusaders W VS Larne W
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
4.5 Goals Conceded 4.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Crusaders W

(Home)
25 Sept
Lisburn Ladies W
2 : 3
Crusaders W
18 Sept
Crusaders W
3 : 2
Larne W
04 Sept
Crusaders W
3 : 0
Larne W
28 Aug
Linfield W
7 : 1
Crusaders W
14 Aug
Crusaders W
1 : 1
Lisburn Ladies W
Page 1 of 6

Larne W

(Away)
25 Sept
Derry City W
5 : 1
Larne W
18 Sept
Crusaders W
3 : 2
Larne W
04 Sept
Crusaders W
3 : 0
Larne W
28 Aug
Lisburn Rangers W
5 : 1
Larne W
14 Aug
Larne W
1 : 7
Glentoran W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cliftonville W 14 13 0 1 65:10 39
2 Glentoran W 14 11 1 2 55:14 34
3 Linfield W 14 9 1 4 60:22 28
4 Lisburn Rangers W 14 8 1 5 35:30 25
5 Crusaders W 14 4 4 6 25:51 16
6 Derry City W 14 4 1 9 24:33 13
7 Lisburn Ladies W 14 1 2 11 6:54 5
8 Larne W 14 0 2 12 7:63 2
Promotion - Premiership Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership Women (Relegation Group)