Sport Picks

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Crusaders W vs Larne W

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Premiership Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Peachey A.
25' Event
McDaid M.
49' Event
Hamilton C.

AI Match Summary

Crusaders W in this Premiership Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Crusaders W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Crusaders W
15%
Draws
0%
Larne W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crusaders W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Larne W haven't matched Crusaders W's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Crusaders W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • History favors Crusaders W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Crusaders W Clean Sheet 10%
Larne W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crusaders W Larne W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 1
Draws 4 3
Losses 15 25
Goals Scored 1.67 0.66
Goals Conceded 3.27 4.24
Expected Goals (xG) 3.19 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Premiership Women
Crusaders W vs Larne W
3:0
May 1, 2026 Premiership Women
Larne W vs Crusaders W
2:2
Sep 26, 2025 Premiership Women
Crusaders W vs Larne W
3:2
Sep 1, 2025 Premiership Women
Larne W vs Crusaders W
2:4
Jun 6, 2025 Premiership Women
Crusaders W vs Larne W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crusaders W Compare

Top Goalscorer McDaid M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hamilton C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.59

Larne W Compare

Top Goalscorer Peachey A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ward E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crusaders W 83 / 100
Larne W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crusaders W Larne W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crusaders W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Larne W conceded in 97% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Larne W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Crusaders W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Crusaders W VS Larne W
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
4.13 Goals Conceded 4.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Crusaders W

(Home)
04 Sept
Crusaders W
3 : 0
Larne W
28 Aug
Linfield W
7 : 1
Crusaders W
14 Aug
Crusaders W
1 : 1
Lisburn Ladies W
07 Aug
Glentoran W
5 : 1
Crusaders W
31 Jul
Cliftonville W
9 : 0
Crusaders W
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Larne W

(Away)
04 Sept
Crusaders W
3 : 0
Larne W
28 Aug
Lisburn Rangers W
5 : 1
Larne W
14 Aug
Larne W
1 : 7
Glentoran W
07 Aug
Larne W
0 : 8
Cliftonville W
31 Jul
Linfield W
2 : 0
Larne W
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